Sport Picks
FBC Melgar vs A. Lima - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Peru
Liga 1 Estadio de la Universidad Nacional San Agustin (UNSA), Arequipa 
Match Events
23'
23'
Pavez E.
33'
33'
Bordacahar C.
Assist: Quagliata N.
45'
45'
Castillo E.
Assist: Castillo J.
AI Match Summary
The Liga 1 game between FBC Melgar and A. Lima finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
44%
20%
36%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: FBC Melgar
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
44%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and A. Lima come out ahead of FBC Melgar on wins alone.
- Win probability leans FBC Melgar's way, sitting at 50%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.6%
FBC Melgar Clean Sheet 68%
A. Lima Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | FBC Melgar | A. Lima |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 14 |
| Draws | 11 | 8 |
| Losses | 8 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.53 | 1.59 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.2 | 0.93 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 23, 2026 Liga 1
FBC Melgar vs A. Lima
1:1
Mar 10, 2026 Liga 1
A. Lima vs FBC Melgar
3:1
Nov 1, 2025 Liga 1
A. Lima vs FBC Melgar
2:2
Jun 28, 2025 Liga 1
FBC Melgar vs A. Lima
0:1
Sep 29, 2024 Liga 1
A. Lima vs FBC Melgar
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
FBC Melgar Compare
Top Goalscorer Bordacahar C.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
A. Lima Compare
Top Goalscorer Castillo E.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
FBC Melgar 59 / 100
A. Lima 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
FBC Melgar A. Lima
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick FBC Melgar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
FBC Melgar found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).
FBC Melgar has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Defensive concern: A. Lima conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.
H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.
Scoring Trends
FBC Melgar VS A. Lima
1.63 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
FBC Melgar
(Home) 17 Oct
FBC Melgar
4 : 2 Deportivo Garcilaso
11 Oct
Universitario de Deportes
2 : 2 FBC Melgar
20 Sept
FBC Melgar
1 : 1 Sport Boys
12 Sept
Cusco
0 : 1 FBC Melgar
06 Sept
FBC Melgar
3 : 0 AD Tarma
Page 1 of 6
17 Oct
FBC Melgar
4 : 2 Deportivo Garcilaso
20 Sept
FBC Melgar
1 : 1 Sport Boys
06 Sept
FBC Melgar
3 : 0 AD Tarma
23 Aug
FBC Melgar
1 : 1 A. Lima
09 Aug
FBC Melgar
2 : 4 FC Cajamarca
Page 1 of 3
A. Lima
(Away) 18 Oct
A. Lima
3 : 1 Atletico Grau
11 Oct
Cusco
1 : 2 A. Lima
01 Oct
A. Lima
1 : 2 Palestino
19 Sept
A. Lima
2 : 0 AD Tarma
13 Sept
A. Lima
1 : 2 Universitario de Deportes
Page 1 of 6
11 Oct
Cusco
1 : 2 A. Lima
06 Sept
Juan Pablo II
1 : 1 A. Lima
23 Aug
FBC Melgar
1 : 1 A. Lima
09 Aug
Sport Boys
1 : 1 A. Lima
26 Jul
Comerciantes Unidos
2 : 2 A. Lima
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sporting Cristal | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 25:12 | 25 |
| 2 | Sport Huancayo | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 19:14 | 25 |
| 3 | Universitario de Deportes | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 25:19 | 24 |
| 4 | Juan Pablo II | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 23:13 | 22 |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 22:13 | 22 |
| 6 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 20:11 | 22 |
| 7 | A. Lima | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 19:12 | 22 |
| 8 | Alianza Atl. | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 24:22 | 22 |
| 9 | Cusco | 12 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 21:18 | 18 |
| 10 | Sport Boys | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 15:12 | 18 |
| 11 | Atletico Grau | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 15:16 | 17 |
| 12 | Cienciano | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 15:18 | 14 |
| 13 | Los Chankas | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 13:25 | 12 |
| 14 | FC Cajamarca | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 18:25 | 11 |
| 15 | Comerciantes Unidos | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 20:23 | 10 |
| 16 | Moquegua | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 8:19 | 10 |
| 17 | AD Tarma | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 8:23 | 6 |
| 18 | Cajamarca | 12 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 11:26 | 2 |
Promotion - Liga 1 (Play Offs)
