Sport Picks
FBC Melgar vs Deportivo Garcilaso - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Peru
Liga 1 Estadio de la Universidad Nacional San Agustin (UNSA), Arequipa 
AI Match Summary
FBC Melgar host Deportivo Garcilaso in the Liga 1. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: FBC Melgar at 1.43 goals for, 1.11 against; Deportivo Garcilaso at 1.46 for, 0.96 against. Past meetings favor Deportivo Garcilaso slightly — 0-2-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 28, 2026, ending 1:0. xG projections (1.00 - 1.31) back Deportivo Garcilaso to edge this. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Deportivo Garcilaso carry the better recent record into this one.
- 48% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | FBC Melgar | Deportivo Garcilaso |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 10 | 14 |
| Draws | 10 | 5 |
| Losses | 8 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.43 | 1.46 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.11 | 0.96 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
FBC Melgar found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (28 games).
Deportivo Garcilaso has conceded goals in 61% of their last 28 outings.
These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.
Solid form: FBC Melgar remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
FBC Melgar
(Home)Deportivo Garcilaso
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 18:7 | 22 |
| 2 | Sport Huancayo | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 17:13 | 22 |
| 3 | Universitario de Deportes | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 19:16 | 20 |
| 4 | Sporting Cristal | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 20:10 | 19 |
| 5 | Alianza Atl. | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 20:17 | 19 |
| 6 | Juan Pablo II | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 20:12 | 18 |
| 7 | FBC Melgar | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 16:9 | 18 |
| 8 | Sport Boys | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 14:7 | 18 |
| 9 | Cusco | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 19:14 | 18 |
| 10 | Atletico Grau | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 14:13 | 17 |
| 11 | A. Lima | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 14:10 | 16 |
| 12 | Cienciano | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 14:18 | 11 |
| 13 | FC Cajamarca | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 18:24 | 10 |
| 14 | Comerciantes Unidos | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 17:18 | 9 |
| 15 | Los Chankas | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11:24 | 9 |
| 16 | Moquegua | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 7:19 | 7 |
| 17 | AD Tarma | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7:21 | 5 |
| 18 | Cajamarca | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 11:24 | 2 |
