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Stadium Background

FBC Melgar vs Los Chankas

Peru Peru

Liga 1 Estadio de la Universidad Nacional San Agustin (UNSA)
Our Tip

Match Events

25'
Guzman L.
37' Event
Zegarra M.
Assist: Zanelatto F.
41'
Sub
Gonzales D. In: Torres M.
Out: Gonzales D.

AI Match Summary

The Liga 1 game between FBC Melgar and Los Chankas finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Los Chankas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
FBC Melgar
39%
Draws
31%
Los Chankas
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Los Chankas carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Liga 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
FBC Melgar Clean Sheet 68%
Los Chankas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FBC Melgar Los Chankas
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 12 17
Draws 9 4
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 1.75 1.13
Goals Conceded 1 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 27, 2026 Liga 1
FBC Melgar vs Los Chankas
1:2
Sep 21, 2025 Liga 1
FBC Melgar vs Los Chankas
6:1
Apr 27, 2025 Liga 1
Los Chankas vs FBC Melgar
1:1
Sep 15, 2024 Liga 1
FBC Melgar vs Los Chankas
2:0
Apr 6, 2024 Liga 1
Los Chankas vs FBC Melgar
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FBC Melgar Compare

Top Goalscorer Zegarra M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Los Chankas Compare

Top Goalscorer Ayarza A.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FBC Melgar 41 / 100
Los Chankas 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FBC Melgar Los Chankas

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MEL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: FBC Melgar scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Los Chankas let in goals in 64% of their last 28 matches.

FBC Melgar went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FBC Melgar VS Los Chankas
1.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1A. Lima17124130:840
2Los Chankas17104325:2134
3Cienciano17103434:2233
4Universitario de Deportes1785424:1529
5FBC Melgar1784529:2028
6Cusco1783621:2427
7Deportivo Garcilaso1775521:1826
8Alianza Atl.1756620:1821
9Comerciantes Unidos1756618:2021
10AD Tarma1755722:2120
11Sport Boys1755715:1920
12Sporting Cristal1754828:3019
13Cajamarca1746721:2618
14Moquegua1753917:2418
15FC Cajamarca1745823:2817
16Atletico Grau1744912:1816
17Sport Huancayo1744921:3116
18Juan Pablo II1744922:4016