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FBC Melgar W vs Flamengo FBC W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Peru Peru

Liga Women 2026 Estadio de la Universidad Nacional San Agustin (UNSA), Arequipa
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AI Match Summary

FBC Melgar W in this Liga Women 2026 matchup, with the score ending 5-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored FBC Melgar W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
FBC Melgar W
15%
Draws
28%
Flamengo FBC W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FBC Melgar W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to FBC Melgar W lately — more wins on the board than Flamengo FBC W.
  • Model gives FBC Melgar W a 57% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga Women 2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and FBC Melgar W have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
FBC Melgar W Clean Sheet 17%
Flamengo FBC W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FBC Melgar W Flamengo FBC W
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 14 9
Draws 4 6
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 1.79 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 2.56 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 21, 2026 Liga Women
FBC Melgar W vs Flamengo FBC W
5:0
May 9, 2026 Liga Women
Flamengo FBC W vs FBC Melgar W
1:2
Sep 1, 2025 Liga Women
Flamengo FBC W vs FBC Melgar W
0:0
May 18, 2025 Liga Women
FBC Melgar W vs Flamengo FBC W
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FBC Melgar W 84 / 100
Flamengo FBC W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FBC Melgar W Flamengo FBC W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FBC Melgar W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: FBC Melgar W scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Flamengo FBC W has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.75 goals as a typical output.

FBC Melgar W has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

FBC Melgar W VS Flamengo FBC W
2.75 Goals Scored 0.88
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

FBC Melgar W

(Home)
27 Sept
A. Lima W
1 : 0
FBC Melgar W
18 Sept
FBC Melgar W
2 : 1
Carlos Mannucci W
11 Sept
Atl. Andahuaylas W
1 : 5
FBC Melgar W
04 Sept
FBC Melgar W
1 : 0
Killas W
30 Aug
UNSAAC W
1 : 3
FBC Melgar W
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Flamengo FBC W

(Away)
25 Sept
Killas W
1 : 0
Flamengo FBC W
19 Sept
Flamengo FBC W
1 : 0
UNSAAC W
13 Sept
Universitario de Deportes W
5 : 0
Flamengo FBC W
06 Sept
Defensores W
2 : 1
Flamengo FBC W
29 Aug
Flamengo FBC W
3 : 0
Yanapuma W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 A. Lima W 10 10 0 0 33:2 30
2 Universitario de Deportes W 10 8 1 1 48:9 25
3 FBC Melgar W 10 7 0 3 28:10 21
4 Sporting Cristal W 10 7 0 3 24:10 21
5 Atl. Andahuaylas W 10 5 2 3 14:12 17
6 Carlos Mannucci W 10 4 1 5 15:30 13
7 Killas W 10 4 0 6 8:20 12
8 Flamengo FBC W 10 2 1 7 8:20 7
9 Yanapuma W 10 2 0 8 14:36 6
10 Defensores W 10 2 0 8 8:39 6
11 UNSAAC W 10 1 1 8 10:22 4
Promotion - Liga Women 2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Women 2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)