Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FBC Melgar W vs Universitario de Deportes W

Peru Peru

Liga Women 2025 Estadio de la Universidad Nacional San Agustin (UNSA)
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Liga Women 2025 game between FBC Melgar W and Universitario de Deportes W finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FBC Melgar W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
FBC Melgar W
6%
Draws
90%
Universitario de Deportes W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Universitario de Deportes W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Universitario de Deportes W come out ahead of FBC Melgar W on wins alone.
  • Model gives Universitario de Deportes W a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Universitario de Deportes W have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
FBC Melgar W Clean Sheet 10%
Universitario de Deportes W Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FBC Melgar W Universitario de Deportes W
Matches Played 29 34
Wins 11 24
Draws 6 6
Losses 12 4
Goals Scored 1.38 4
Goals Conceded 1.88 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 4.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Liga Women
FBC Melgar W vs Universitario de Deportes W
0:3
Sep 27, 2025 Liga Women
FBC Melgar W vs Universitario de Deportes W
1:0
Jun 15, 2025 Liga Women
Universitario de Deportes W vs FBC Melgar W
4:0
Jun 11, 2025 Liga Women
FBC Melgar W vs Universitario de Deportes W
0:2
May 25, 2025 Liga Women
Universitario de Deportes W vs FBC Melgar W
3:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FBC Melgar W 10 / 100
Universitario de Deportes W 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FBC Melgar W Universitario de Deportes W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UNI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FBC Melgar W's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: FBC Melgar W stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Universitario de Deportes W conceded in 38% of 34 recent games.

Scoring Trends

FBC Melgar W VS Universitario de Deportes W
1.38 Goals Scored 4
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1A. Lima W11100136:630
2Universitario de Deportes W1190243:627
3Sporting Cristal W1172228:923
4Carlos Mannucci W1172228:1323
5UNSAAC W1161422:1319
6FBC Melgar W1153314:1618
7Flamengo FBC W1143414:1615
8Biavo W1131710:3210
9Cesar Vallejo W1122711:258
10Killas W111379:296
11Real Ancash W1120915:406
12Defensores W1111911:364