Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FBK Karlstad vs Karlstad

Sweden Sweden

Division 1 - Norra Örsholmens IP, Karlstad
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Heden A.
Assist: Bjork N.
9'
Wagnsson S.
29' Event
Kack Ofordu K.

AI Match Summary

The Division 1 - Norra game between FBK Karlstad and Karlstad finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Karlstad.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
FBK Karlstad
35%
Draws
14%
Karlstad
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: FBK Karlstad

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • FBK Karlstad carry the better recent record into this one.
  • FBK Karlstad are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Division 1 - Norra form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
FBK Karlstad Clean Sheet 18%
Karlstad Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FBK Karlstad Karlstad
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 15 14
Draws 6 6
Losses 7 8
Goals Scored 1.75 1.61
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.04
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 16, 2026 Division 1 - Norra
Karlstad vs FBK Karlstad
0:0
Jun 5, 2026 Division 1 - Norra
FBK Karlstad vs Karlstad
2:3
Sep 8, 2024 Division 1 - Norra
FBK Karlstad vs Karlstad
1:1
May 31, 2024 Division 1 - Norra
Karlstad vs FBK Karlstad
1:2
Feb 9, 2024 Club Friendly
FBK Karlstad vs Karlstad
5:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FBK Karlstad Compare

Top Goalscorer Heden A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hana G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Karlstad Compare

Top Goalscorer Kack Ofordu K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bellman H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FBK Karlstad 85 / 100
Karlstad 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FBK Karlstad Karlstad

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FBK Karlstad Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: FBK Karlstad scored in 82% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

FBK Karlstad has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Karlstad let in goals in 61% of their last 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

FBK Karlstad VS Karlstad
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

FBK Karlstad

(Home)
19 Sept
FBK Karlstad
0 : 0
Sollentuna
16 Sept
Karlstad
0 : 0
FBK Karlstad
12 Sept
FBK Karlstad
2 : 1
Vasalund
05 Sept
FC Jarfalla
0 : 3
FBK Karlstad
30 Aug
FBK Karlstad
4 : 3
Pitea
Page 1 of 6

Karlstad

(Away)
19 Sept
Enkopings SK
2 : 2
Karlstad
16 Sept
Karlstad
0 : 0
FBK Karlstad
12 Sept
IFK Stocksund
2 : 1
Karlstad
05 Sept
Karlstad
1 : 2
AFC Eskilstuna
29 Aug
Gefle
2 : 2
Karlstad
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Stockholm Internazionale 23 16 3 4 55:19 51
2 AFC Eskilstuna 23 13 4 6 41:30 43
3 Hammarby TFF 23 12 6 5 48:22 42
4 FC Arlanda 23 12 6 5 40:27 42
5 Karlstad 23 11 6 6 35:23 39
6 FBK Karlstad 23 11 6 6 36:32 39
7 Enkopings SK 23 12 3 8 37:38 39
8 Assyriska FF 23 9 5 9 42:40 32
9 Gefle 23 9 3 11 29:41 30
10 Umea FC 23 8 5 10 31:37 29
11 Karlbergs 23 8 4 11 29:38 28
12 Sollentuna 23 5 9 9 21:31 24
13 Vasalund 23 6 6 11 34:48 24
14 Pitea 23 4 6 13 27:44 18
15 FC Jarfalla 23 5 3 15 30:50 18
16 IFK Stocksund 23 3 5 15 43:58 14
Promotion - Superettan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Relegation - Play Offs)