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FBK Karlstad vs Vanersborgs IF

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Norra Götaland 2025 Örsholmens IP, Karlstad
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Beqiri A.
61' Event
Wagnsson S.
85' Event
Nyman C.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Norra Götaland 2025 game between FBK Karlstad and Vanersborgs IF finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FBK Karlstad.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
FBK Karlstad
17%
Draws
13%
Vanersborgs IF
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: FBK Karlstad

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and FBK Karlstad come out ahead of Vanersborgs IF on wins alone.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on FBK Karlstad taking it.
  • Regular Division 2 - Norra Götaland 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
FBK Karlstad Clean Sheet 68%
Vanersborgs IF Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FBK Karlstad Vanersborgs IF
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 18 6
Draws 3 8
Losses 10 17
Goals Scored 2 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.88 3.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 3.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 18, 2025 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
FBK Karlstad vs Vanersborgs IF
3:0
Apr 26, 2025 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Vanersborgs IF vs FBK Karlstad
1:1
Aug 4, 2018 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Vanersborgs IF vs FBK Karlstad
3:2
Apr 7, 2018 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
FBK Karlstad vs Vanersborgs IF
0:1
Sep 23, 2017 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
FBK Karlstad vs Vanersborgs IF
6:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FBK Karlstad Compare

Top Goalscorer Beqiri A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Wagnsson S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Vanersborgs IF Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FBK Karlstad 77 / 100
Vanersborgs IF 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FBK Karlstad Vanersborgs IF

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FBK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: FBK Karlstad scored in 84% of their last 31 outings.

Vanersborgs IF has conceded goals in 87% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Vanersborgs IF lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FBK Karlstad VS Vanersborgs IF
2 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 3.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

FBK Karlstad

(Home)
26 Jun
FBK Karlstad
0 : 7
Hammarby TFF
18 Jun
Sollentuna
0 : 2
FBK Karlstad
14 Jun
FC Stockholm Internazionale
3 : 1
FBK Karlstad
09 Jun
Sturehov IK
1 : 3
FBK Karlstad
05 Jun
FBK Karlstad
2 : 3
Karlstad
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Vanersborgs IF

(Away)
26 Jun
Vanersborgs IF
1 : 0
Stenungsunds IF
18 Jun
Grebbestad
4 : 3
Vanersborgs IF
15 Jun
Vanersborgs IF
2 : 2
Herrestads AIF
04 Jun
Stenungsunds IF
5 : 0
Vanersborgs IF
31 May
Motala
2 : 0
Vanersborgs IF
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FBK Karlstad26164662:2952
2Motala26156558:3551
3Herrestads AIF26128651:2744
4Lidkoping26128638:2544
5Ahlafors261010641:3740
6Kongahalla26107957:4237
7Skara261041240:4834
8Grebbestad26951240:4732
9Vanersborgs IF26710944:5031
10Vanersborgs FK26871126:3731
11Tord26791032:3930
12Kumla26861234:5230
13IF Haga26651526:5423
14Tidaholms26471527:5419
Promotion - Division 2 - Norrland 2025 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Norra Götaland 2025 (Relegation)