Sport Picks

Lithuania

I Lyga 2016 S. Dariaus ir S. Girėno stadionas

Dainava Alytus

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

FBK Kaunas play Dainava Alytus in the I Lyga 2016. Dainava Alytus are favorites here. Recently, FBK Kaunas averaged 0.83 goals scored and 4.47 conceded. Dainava Alytus averaged 1.77 goals scored and 1.31 conceded. In past meetings, FBK Kaunas won 0, Dainava Alytus won 5, and they drew 0. Their last match on Aug 13, 2016 ended 0:5. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.54 for FBK Kaunas and 1.05 for Dainava Alytus. This points to a Dainava Alytus double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%

FBK Kaunas

15%

Draws

72%

Dainava Alytus

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dainava Alytus

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

FBK Kaunas picked up more points recently compared to Dainava Alytus.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.54 vs 1.05 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 68%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 86%

Over 2.5 Goals 68%

Over 3.5 Goals 41%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 46%

FBK Kaunas Clean Sheet 22%

Dainava Alytus Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 77%

Second Half Goal 82%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	FBK Kaunas	Dainava Alytus
Matches Played	30	39
Wins	4	17
Draws	1	10
Losses	25	12
Goals Scored	0.83	1.77
Goals Conceded	4.47	1.31

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 13, 2016 I Lyga

FBK Kaunas vs Dainava Alytus

Possession: 47% - 57% Cards: 4 - 2

0:5

Apr 24, 2016 I Lyga

Dainava Alytus vs FBK Kaunas

Possession: 53% - 54% Cards: 3 - 1

6:0

Sep 14, 2011 TOPLYGA

FBK Kaunas vs Dainava Alytus

Possession: 48% - 57% Cards: 1 - 1

0:2

Jun 19, 2011 TOPLYGA

Dainava Alytus vs FBK Kaunas

Possession: 43% - 59% Cards: 3 - 3

1:0

Apr 9, 2011 TOPLYGA

FBK Kaunas vs Dainava Alytus

Possession: 56% - 46% Cards: 0 - 2

0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FBK Kaunas Compare

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Dainava Alytus Compare

Top Goalscorer Sendzikas L.

3 Goals

Assists Leader Baranauskas L.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.91

Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FBK Kaunas 16 / 100

Dainava Alytus 67 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

FBK Kaunas Dainava Alytus

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dainava Alytus Win (2)

Secondary Pick Dainava Alytus & Over 2.5

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +160%

20.00

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +9.5%

1.61

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

FBK Kaunas attacking → ← attacking Dainava Alytus

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FBK Kaunas scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

Dainava Alytus let in goals in 64% of their last 39 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

FBK Kaunas went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Dainava Alytus lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

13 Points in last 5 61

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.00

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.88

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Marijampole City	30	23	3	4	95:25	72
2	Palanga	30	21	7	2	96:29	70
3	Vilniaus Vytis	30	19	3	8	102:34	60
4	Nevezis Kedainiai	30	17	9	4	76:38	60
5	FK Panevezys	30	17	8	5	68:35	59
6	Banga	30	15	7	8	62:31	52
7	Dziugas Telsiai	30	15	3	12	51:44	48
8	Zalgiris 2	30	14	3	13	62:61	45
9	Dainava Alytus	30	13	4	13	57:46	43
10	FC Hegelmann	30	13	3	14	55:56	42
11	Riteriai 2	30	9	3	18	44:59	30
12	Silute	30	8	6	16	38:60	30
13	FK Krazante Kelme	30	8	4	18	47:86	28
14	Lokomotyvas Radviliskis	30	6	5	19	42:86	23
15	FBK Kaunas	30	4	1	25	25:134	13
16	FK Minija	30	3	1	26	27:123	10