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FC 08 Homburg vs Freiburg II - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Regionalliga Sudwest
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FC 08 Homburg host Freiburg II in the Regionalliga Sudwest. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: FC 08 Homburg at 1.87 goals for, 1.42 against; Freiburg II at 2.17 for, 1.48 against. Head-to-head, FC 08 Homburg have won 1 to Freiburg II's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on Jan 31, 2026, ending 3:2. xG projections (1.31 - 1.69) back Freiburg II to edge this. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
FC 08 Homburg
35%
Draws
41%
Freiburg II
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Freiburg II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Freiburg II at 2.17 per game, FC 08 Homburg at 1.87.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Regionalliga Sudwest form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
FC 08 Homburg Clean Sheet 13%
Freiburg II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC 08 Homburg Freiburg II
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 15 15
Draws 6 6
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 1.87 2.17
Goals Conceded 1.42 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 31, 2026 Club Friendly
Freiburg II vs FC 08 Homburg
3:2
Nov 30, 2025 Regionalliga Sudwest
FC 08 Homburg vs Freiburg II
4:1
Aug 10, 2025 Regionalliga Sudwest
Freiburg II vs FC 08 Homburg
5:3
Mar 9, 2025 Regionalliga Sudwest
Freiburg II vs FC 08 Homburg
3:2
Aug 30, 2024 Regionalliga Sudwest
FC 08 Homburg vs Freiburg II
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC 08 Homburg 31 / 100
Freiburg II 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC 08 Homburg Freiburg II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC 08 Homburg found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (31 games).

H2H data points to 5.40 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Freiburg II conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

Solid form: FC 08 Homburg remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

FC 08 Homburg VS Freiburg II
1.25 Goals Scored 2
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

FC 08 Homburg

(Home)
09 Oct
Kickers Offenbach
2 : 2
FC 08 Homburg
03 Oct
FC 08 Homburg
1 : 1
Fulda-Lehnerz
26 Sept
TSV Steinbach Haiger
1 : 0
FC 08 Homburg
19 Sept
FC 08 Homburg
2 : 2
Kassel
12 Sept
Eintracht Frankfurt II
1 : 2
FC 08 Homburg
Page 1 of 7

Freiburg II

(Away)
03 Oct
Mainz II
0 : 2
Freiburg II
19 Sept
Fulda-Lehnerz
2 : 3
Freiburg II
11 Sept
Freiburg II
1 : 2
Sandhausen
08 Sept
Eintracht Trier
0 : 0
Freiburg II
05 Sept
Freiburg II
4 : 3
TSV Steinbach Haiger
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Freiberg 10 5 5 0 26:11 20
2 Kickers Offenbach 11 6 2 3 22:15 20
3 Stutt. Kickers 10 6 2 2 19:13 20
4 Aalen 10 5 3 2 18:11 18
5 Freiburg II 9 4 4 1 18:11 16
6 FC 08 Homburg 11 4 4 3 15:15 16
7 Eintracht Trier 10 5 1 4 11:11 16
8 VfR Mannheim 9 3 5 1 14:9 14
9 TSV Steinbach Haiger 10 3 4 3 15:15 13
10 Sandhausen 10 3 4 3 16:20 13
11 FSV Frankfurt 9 3 3 3 14:13 12
12 Kassel 10 3 2 5 17:19 11
13 Eintracht Frankfurt II 8 3 1 4 11:12 10
14 Astoria Walldorf 10 2 3 5 15:18 9
15 Mainz II 10 3 0 7 10:21 9
16 Kaiserslautern II 9 2 3 4 7:18 9
17 Fulda-Lehnerz 10 1 3 6 14:22 6
18 Ulm 10 0 5 5 13:21 5
Promotion - 3. Liga 2027/2028 (Main)