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FC Alpendorada vs GD Resende - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Pereira R.
24' Event
Morais R.
59' Event
Mendez A.

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2025/2026 game between FC Alpendorada and GD Resende finished 3-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward GD Resende.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
FC Alpendorada
20%
Draws
46%
GD Resende
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: GD Resende

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and FC Alpendorada come out ahead of GD Resende on wins alone.
  • Model gives FC Alpendorada a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
FC Alpendorada Clean Sheet 20%
GD Resende Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Alpendorada GD Resende
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 7
Draws 9 10
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 1.4 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 1.21
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
FC Alpendorada vs GD Resende
3:4
Dec 21, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
GD Resende vs FC Alpendorada
0:0
Mar 12, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
FC Alpendorada vs GD Resende
2:0
Nov 27, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
GD Resende vs FC Alpendorada
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Alpendorada Compare

Top Goalscorer Tavares B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Borges M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.23
Avg xA / game 0.8

GD Resende Compare

Top Goalscorer Pereira R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Morais R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.1
Avg xA / game 0.67

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Alpendorada 36 / 100
GD Resende 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Alpendorada GD Resende

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Alpendorada's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: GD Resende conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

FC Alpendorada has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

FC Alpendorada VS GD Resende
1.63 Goals Scored 1.43
1 Goals Conceded 1.57
50% Over 1.5 86%
38% Over 2.5 43%
25% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Alpendorada

(Home)
20 Sept
FC Alpendorada
3 : 0
Macao
13 Sept
FC Alpendorada
1 : 2
Machico
06 Sept
Sanjoanense
3 : 1
FC Alpendorada
30 Aug
Rebordosa
2 : 3
FC Alpendorada
23 Aug
FC Alpendorada
1 : 2
Camacha
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GD Resende

(Away)
18 Apr
FC Alpendorada
3 : 4
GD Resende
12 Apr
GD Resende
0 : 2
Cinfaes
04 Apr
Florgrade
1 : 1
GD Resende
22 Mar
GD Resende
1 : 1
Leca
15 Mar
SC Vila Real
0 : 3
GD Resende
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rebordosa 26 17 7 2 41:17 58
2 Leca 26 14 9 3 50:23 51
3 Cinfaes 26 10 10 6 33:21 40
4 Beira Mar 26 10 8 8 30:22 38
5 FC Alpendorada 26 9 11 6 30:22 38
6 Florgrade 26 9 10 7 28:28 37
7 Vila Mea 26 7 13 6 29:28 34
8 Uniao Lamas 26 9 6 11 27:33 33
9 SC Salgueiros 26 7 11 8 20:19 32
10 Anadia 26 7 9 10 27:33 30
11 Aparecida 26 9 4 13 36:51 28
12 GD Resende 26 6 10 10 27:31 28
13 SC Vila Real 26 5 12 9 23:30 27
14 CD Gouveia 26 1 4 21 14:57 7
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026 (Promotion Group)