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FC Ararat W vs Flora W

Estonia Estonia

Meistriliiga Women 2025 Lasnamäe Sports Complex Stadium, Tallinn
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Jotkina A.
12' Event
Lillemae M.
14' Event
Palts L.

AI Match Summary

The Meistriliiga Women 2025 game between FC Ararat W and Flora W finished 1-7, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Flora W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
FC Ararat W
15%
Draws
85%
Flora W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Flora W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Flora W come out ahead of FC Ararat W on wins alone.
  • Model gives Flora W a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Meistriliiga Women 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
FC Ararat W Clean Sheet 11%
Flora W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Ararat W Flora W
Matches Played 30 43
Wins 8 33
Draws 4 3
Losses 18 7
Goals Scored 1.33 3.74
Goals Conceded 2.23 0.98
Expected Goals (xG) 1.73 1.80
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 10, 2025 Meistriliiga Women
Flora W vs FC Ararat W
0:0
Sep 5, 2025 Meistriliiga Women
FC Ararat W vs Flora W
0:0
May 16, 2025 Meistriliiga Women
FC Ararat W vs Flora W
1:7
Oct 12, 2024 Meistriliiga Women
Flora W vs FC Ararat W
4:0
Aug 3, 2024 Meistriliiga Women
FC Ararat W vs Flora W
3:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Ararat W Compare

Top Goalscorer Asatryan V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.33
Avg xA / game 0.86

Flora W Compare

Top Goalscorer Jotkina A.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Palts L.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Ararat W 10 / 100
Flora W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Ararat W Flora W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Flora W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

FC Ararat W found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (23 games).

Flora W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 41 matches.

Away concern: Flora W has suffered 1 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Flora W
0 Goals Scored 2.5
0 Goals Conceded 2.25
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Ararat W

(Home)
04 Oct
Tabasalu W
:
FC Ararat W
20 Sept
FC Ararat W
:
Tammeka Tartu W
17 Sept
Elva W
:
FC Ararat W
13 Sept
Saku Sporting W
:
FC Ararat W
10 Sept
Flora W
:
FC Ararat W
Page 1 of 6

Flora W

(Away)
26 Sept
Saku Sporting W
1 : 5
Flora W
20 Sept
Harju JK Laagri W
0 : 5
Flora W
12 Sept
Flora W
1 : 2
Paide Linnameeskond W
06 Sept
Viimsi JK W
1 : 3
Flora W
02 Sept
Harju JK Laagri W
1 : 5
Flora W
Page 1 of 9

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Flora W 27 25 1 1 126:11 76
2 Saku Sporting W 27 18 2 7 84:47 56
3 Viimsi JK W 27 15 5 7 60:32 50
4 Tabasalu W 27 14 2 11 51:55 44
5 Tallinna Kalev W 27 9 3 15 58:77 30
6 Tammeka Tartu W 27 4 5 18 32:95 17
7 Elva W 27 4 2 21 28:96 14
8 FC Ararat W 21 5 2 14 22:48 17
Promotion - UEFA Champions League Women (Qualification - First stage)