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FC Ararat W vs Tammeka Tartu W

Estonia Estonia

Meistriliiga Women 2025 Lasnamäe Sports Complex Stadium, Tallinn
Sat, Sep 20, 2025
VS
09:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FC Ararat W host Tammeka Tartu W in the Meistriliiga Women 2025. FC Ararat W go into this one as the clear favorite. FC Ararat W have averaged 0 scored and 2.5 conceded recently, against Tammeka Tartu W's 1 scored and 3.5 conceded. Head-to-head, FC Ararat W have won 3 to Tammeka Tartu W's 0, with 2 draws. They last met on Sep 20, 2025, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 2.35 vs 1.75, favoring FC Ararat W. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
FC Ararat W
6%
Draws
4%
Tammeka Tartu W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: FC Ararat W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • FC Ararat W have won more games recently than Tammeka Tartu W.
  • Model gives FC Ararat W a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Meistriliiga Women 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
FC Ararat W Clean Sheet 12%
Tammeka Tartu W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Ararat W Tammeka Tartu W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 5
Draws 4 5
Losses 18 20
Goals Scored 0 1
Goals Conceded 2.5 3.5
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.50 3.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2025 Meistriliiga Women
FC Ararat W vs Tammeka Tartu W
0:0
Jun 17, 2025 Meistriliiga Women
FC Ararat W vs Tammeka Tartu W
3:3
May 10, 2025 Meistriliiga Women
Tammeka Tartu W vs FC Ararat W
0:5
Oct 6, 2024 Meistriliiga Women
FC Ararat W vs Tammeka Tartu W
2:1
Jul 20, 2024 Meistriliiga Women
FC Ararat W vs Tammeka Tartu W
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Ararat W 83 / 100
Tammeka Tartu W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Ararat W Tammeka Tartu W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ARA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tammeka Tartu W let in goals in 100% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

FC Ararat W found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (23 games).

Tammeka Tartu W's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

FC Ararat W VS Tammeka Tartu W
0 Goals Scored 1
2.5 Goals Conceded 3.5
25% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Ararat W

(Home)
04 Oct
Tabasalu W
:
FC Ararat W
20 Sept
FC Ararat W
:
Tammeka Tartu W
17 Sept
Elva W
:
FC Ararat W
13 Sept
Saku Sporting W
:
FC Ararat W
10 Sept
Flora W
:
FC Ararat W
Page 1 of 6

Tammeka Tartu W

(Away)
15 Nov
Viimsi JK W
3 : 1
Tammeka Tartu W
08 Nov
Tammeka Tartu W
2 : 1
Elva W
01 Nov
Tammeka Tartu W
0 : 8
Flora W
18 Oct
Tabasalu W
4 : 1
Tammeka Tartu W
14 Oct
Saku Sporting W
5 : 0
Tammeka Tartu W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Flora W272511126:1176
2Saku Sporting W27182784:4756
3Viimsi JK W27155760:3250
4Tabasalu W271421151:5544
5Tallinna Kalev W27931558:7730
6Tammeka Tartu W27451832:9517
7Elva W27422128:9614
8FC Ararat W21521422:4817
Promotion - Champions League Women (Qualification - First stage)