Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FC Arlanda vs IFK Stocksund

Sweden Sweden

Division 1 - Norra Midgardsvallen, Märsta
Our Tip

Match Events

41'
Johansson A.
48'
Bergstedt O.
53'
Giordano Eriksson I.

AI Match Summary

The Division 1 - Norra game between FC Arlanda and IFK Stocksund finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FC Arlanda.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
FC Arlanda
15%
Draws
21%
IFK Stocksund
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FC Arlanda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • FC Arlanda carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives FC Arlanda a 64% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Division 1 - Norra form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
FC Arlanda Clean Sheet 10%
IFK Stocksund Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Arlanda IFK Stocksund
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 13 4
Draws 8 6
Losses 7 17
Goals Scored 1.79 1.74
Goals Conceded 1.29 2.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Division 1 - Norra
IFK Stocksund vs FC Arlanda
2:3
Jun 18, 2026 Division 1 - Norra
FC Arlanda vs IFK Stocksund
1:0
Aug 3, 2025 Division 1 - Norra
IFK Stocksund vs FC Arlanda
2:1
May 23, 2025 Division 1 - Norra
FC Arlanda vs IFK Stocksund
5:3
Oct 12, 2021 Division 2 - Norra Svealand
IFK Stocksund vs FC Arlanda
5:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Arlanda Compare

Top Goalscorer Butros M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

IFK Stocksund Compare

Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Arlanda 83 / 100
IFK Stocksund 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Arlanda IFK Stocksund

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Arlanda Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: FC Arlanda scored in 82% of their last 28 outings.

IFK Stocksund has conceded goals in 96% of their last 27 outings.

H2H data points to 4.80 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: FC Arlanda remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

FC Arlanda VS IFK Stocksund
1.5 Goals Scored 1.75
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Arlanda

(Home)
16 Sept
Gefle
0 : 2
FC Arlanda
12 Sept
Karlbergs
1 : 0
FC Arlanda
06 Sept
FC Arlanda
1 : 2
Umea FC
29 Aug
IFK Stocksund
2 : 3
FC Arlanda
23 Aug
FC Arlanda
5 : 1
FBK Karlstad
Page 1 of 6

IFK Stocksund

(Away)
17 Sept
FC Stockholm Internazionale
5 : 2
IFK Stocksund
12 Sept
IFK Stocksund
2 : 1
Karlstad
04 Sept
Assyriska FF
2 : 1
IFK Stocksund
29 Aug
IFK Stocksund
2 : 3
FC Arlanda
23 Aug
Vasalund
4 : 3
IFK Stocksund
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Stockholm Internazionale 22 15 3 4 53:19 48
2 AFC Eskilstuna 22 13 4 5 41:29 43
3 Hammarby TFF 22 12 6 4 46:18 42
4 FC Arlanda 22 11 6 5 36:25 39
5 Karlstad 22 11 5 6 33:21 38
6 FBK Karlstad 22 11 5 6 36:32 38
7 Enkopings SK 22 12 2 8 35:36 38
8 Assyriska FF 22 8 5 9 37:39 29
9 Karlbergs 22 8 4 10 29:36 28
10 Gefle 22 8 3 11 28:41 27
11 Umea FC 22 7 5 10 28:37 26
12 Vasalund 22 6 6 10 33:43 24
13 Sollentuna 22 5 8 9 21:31 23
14 FC Jarfalla 22 5 3 14 29:47 18
15 Pitea 22 3 6 13 24:43 15
16 IFK Stocksund 22 3 5 14 43:55 14
Promotion - Superettan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Relegation - Play Offs)