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FC Asgabat vs Nebitci - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Turkmenistan Turkmenistan

Yokary Liga
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FC Asgabat host Nebitci in the Yokary Liga. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Nebitci have shipped 1.79 goals a game lately, while FC Asgabat have conceded 2.04 and scored 1.14. Head-to-head, FC Asgabat have won 1 to Nebitci's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on Aug 22, 2026, ending 1:1. xG projections (1.88 - 1.75) back Nebitci to edge this. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
FC Asgabat
35%
Draws
32%
Nebitci
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Nebitci have won more games recently than FC Asgabat.
  • Win probability leans FC Asgabat's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular Yokary Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
FC Asgabat Clean Sheet 12%
Nebitci Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Asgabat Nebitci
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 6 8
Draws 4 5
Losses 18 15
Goals Scored 1.14 0.82
Goals Conceded 2.04 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Yokary Liga
Nebitci vs FC Asgabat
1:1
May 24, 2026 Yokary Liga
FC Asgabat vs Nebitci
1:0
Apr 18, 2026 Yokary Liga
Nebitci vs FC Asgabat
1:0
Nov 30, 2025 Yokary Liga
Nebitci vs FC Asgabat
1:0
Sep 13, 2025 Yokary Liga
FC Asgabat vs Nebitci
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Asgabat 40 / 100
Nebitci 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Asgabat Nebitci

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Asgabat found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (28 games).

Nebitci's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Nebitci has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

FC Asgabat VS Nebitci
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
2.38 Goals Conceded 2.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Asgabat

(Home)
19 Sept
FC Asgabat
2 : 5
Ahal
05 Sept
FC Asgabat
1 : 1
Kopetdag Asgabat
30 Aug
Merw
3 : 2
FC Asgabat
26 Aug
Arkadag
3 : 0
FC Asgabat
22 Aug
Nebitci
1 : 1
FC Asgabat
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Nebitci

(Away)
19 Sept
Nebitci
1 : 3
Altyn Asyr
12 Sept
Ahal
3 : 0
Nebitci
05 Sept
Nebitci
2 : 4
Arkadag
30 Aug
Kopetdag Asgabat
2 : 2
Nebitci
22 Aug
Nebitci
1 : 1
FC Asgabat
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