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FC Astana 2 vs FC Ekibastuz - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

First League
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Akhmetov A.
Assist: Sagyn A.
19' Event
Anuarov S.
Assist: Valikhan R.
21' Event
Kaltanov A.
Assist: Tulakbayev I.

AI Match Summary

FC Astana 2 in this First League matchup, with the score ending 7-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored FC Astana 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
FC Astana 2
20%
Draws
10%
FC Ekibastuz
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: FC Astana 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to FC Astana 2 lately — more wins on the board than FC Ekibastuz.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on FC Astana 2 taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
FC Astana 2 Clean Sheet 10%
FC Ekibastuz Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Astana 2 FC Ekibastuz
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 9
Draws 3 6
Losses 15 14
Goals Scored 1.72 1.31
Goals Conceded 2.41 2.31
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 18, 2026 First League
FC Astana 2 vs FC Ekibastuz
7:1
Jun 26, 2026 First League
FC Ekibastuz vs FC Astana 2
1:1
Jul 27, 2023 First League
FC Ekibastuz vs FC Astana 2
2:3
Apr 21, 2023 First League
FC Astana 2 vs FC Ekibastuz
0:2
Oct 22, 2022 First League
FC Ekibastuz vs FC Astana 2
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Astana 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Akhmetov A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Anuarov S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

FC Ekibastuz Compare

Top Goalscorer Kalymbetov A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Astana 2 83 / 100
FC Ekibastuz 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Astana 2 FC Ekibastuz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Astana 2 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Ekibastuz let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.20 goals when they meet.

FC Astana 2's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: FC Astana 2 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FC Astana 2 VS FC Ekibastuz
2 Goals Scored 1.63
2.38 Goals Conceded 2.5
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 88%
75% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Astana 2

(Home)
08 Oct
Kaspij Aktau 2
6 : 0
FC Astana 2
18 Sept
FC Astana 2
7 : 1
FC Ekibastuz
10 Sept
Kairat Almaty 2
2 : 2
FC Astana 2
03 Sept
FC Astana 2
4 : 0
Taraz
28 Aug
Khan Tengri
3 : 0
FC Astana 2
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FC Ekibastuz

(Away)
09 Oct
FC Ekibastuz
1 : 1
Khan Tengri
18 Sept
FC Astana 2
7 : 1
FC Ekibastuz
11 Sept
FC Ekibastuz
1 : 5
Tobol 2
03 Sept
Arys
3 : 1
FC Ekibastuz
27 Aug
FC Ekibastuz
2 : 4
Turan
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shakhter Karagandy 24 21 2 1 66:8 65
2 Kairat Almaty 2 24 17 6 1 67:13 57
3 Turan 24 16 3 5 52:22 51
4 Akademiya Ontustik 24 13 4 7 36:29 43
5 FC Astana 2 24 10 3 11 42:49 33
6 Jaiyq 24 9 5 10 22:27 32
7 Taraz 24 8 7 9 31:33 31
8 Kaspij Aktau 2 24 8 4 12 35:41 28
9 Arys 24 8 3 13 32:45 27
10 FC Ekibastuz 24 7 6 11 32:54 27
11 Khan Tengri 24 7 5 12 30:45 26
12 Aktobe 2 24 6 6 12 42:73 24
13 Tobol 2 24 4 5 15 44:61 17
14 Yelimay Semey 2 24 3 3 18 19:50 12
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