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FC Astana vs Dinamo Tirana

Europe Europe

Conference League Astana Arena
Thu, Jul 16, 2026
1 - 4
03:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

22'
Ismaili U.
22'
Vila L.
23' Event
Islamkhan B.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Dinamo Tirana in this Conference League matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Dinamo Tirana.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
FC Astana
39%
Draws
30%
Dinamo Tirana
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Dinamo Tirana haven't matched FC Astana's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Conference League fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
FC Astana Clean Sheet 20%
Dinamo Tirana Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Astana Dinamo Tirana
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 11
Draws 10 9
Losses 6 9
Goals Scored 1.25 1.5
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 16, 2026 Conference League
FC Astana vs Dinamo Tirana
1:4
Jul 9, 2026 Conference League
Dinamo Tirana vs FC Astana
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Astana Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Dinamo Tirana Compare

Top Goalscorer Berisha H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vila L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Astana 32 / 100
Dinamo Tirana 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Astana Dinamo Tirana

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DIN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Astana found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Dinamo Tirana has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: FC Astana remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

FC Astana VS Dinamo Tirana
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Rijeka-
TBD-
TBD-
Derry City-
Lugano-
TBD-
TBD-
Dukagjini-
FCSB-
TBD-
TBD-
FK Auda Riga-
Rakow Czestochowa-
TBD-
TBD-
Valletta-
Debrecen-
TBD-
Marsaxlokk0
Pyunik Yerevan4
IFK Goteborg-
TBD-
Caernarfon0
Levadia10
Varazdin-
TBD-
TBD-
Jablonec-
Bravo-
TBD-
Europa FC0
Shkendija Tetovo6
Shelbourne-
TBD-
Kalju3
Linfield2
Zimbru Chisinau-
TBD-
TBD-
Noah-
Aluminij-
TBD-
Dinamo Tirana4
FC Astana2
AF Elbasani1
BATE2
TBD-
Sion-
Motherwell-
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HB Torshavn-
Vllaznia2
Malisheva6
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Hibernian-
Paks-
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TBD-
Panathinaikos-
Vojvodina-
TBD-
TBD-
Ajax-
LNZ Cherkasy-
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Gent-
Hapoel Tel Aviv-
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Ludogorets-
Bohemians2
St Josephs0
Connahs Q.2
FC Ballkani3
Vaduz-
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Mornar Bar2
Atletic Escaldes4
NSI Runavik3
Hamrun2
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Koper-
Partizan-
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UNA Strassen3
La Fiorita0
Basaksehir-
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FK Sarajevo2
Inter Turku3
HJK-
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Coleraine-
Glentoran1
RFS4
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Vestri-
Decic1
FK Liepaja3
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Austria Vienna-
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Nordsjaelland-
Zilina-
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GKS Katowice-
Dila Gori3
Virtus2
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Apollon Limassol-
Universitatea Cluj-
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Brann-
Valur-
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Zrinjski-
Mondorf2
Dinamo Tbilisi3
Petrovac2
Zalgiris5
Dun. Streda-
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Velez Mostar2
Milsami1
Vikingur3
Stjarnan5
Differdange1
Ilves3
FK Panevezys-
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Tobol-
Neftci Baku-
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Din. Minsk2
Sileks1
Zeleznicar Pancevo-
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Braga-
Polissya Zhytomyr-
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FC Copenhagen-
Penybont0
FC Santa Coloma4
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Rapid Vienna-
Alashkert4
Yelimay Semey3
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CFR Cluj-
FC Hegelmann1
Paide Linnameeskond4
Zira FK6
Torpedo Kutaisi0
Spartak Trnava-
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CSKA 1948 Sofia-
AEK Larnaca-
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Beitar Jerusalem-
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Quarter-finals
Rijeka-
Derry City-
Lugano-
Dukagjini-
FCSB-
FK Auda Riga-
Rakow Czestochowa-
Valletta-
Debrecen-
Pyunik Yerevan-
IFK Goteborg-
Levadia-
Varazdin-
Jablonec-
Bravo-
Shkendija Tetovo-
Shelbourne-
Kalju-
Zimbru Chisinau-
Noah-
Aluminij-
Dinamo Tirana-
BATE-
Sion-
Motherwell-
HB Torshavn-
Malisheva-
Hibernian-
Paks-
Panathinaikos-
Vojvodina-
Ajax-
LNZ Cherkasy-
Gent-
Hapoel Tel Aviv-
Ludogorets-
Bohemians-
FC Ballkani-
Vaduz-
Atletic Escaldes-
NSI Runavik-
Koper-
Partizan-
UNA Strassen-
Basaksehir-
Inter Turku-
HJK-
Coleraine-
RFS-
Vestri-
FK Liepaja-
Austria Vienna-
GAIS-
Nordsjaelland-
Zilina-
GKS Katowice-
Dila Gori-
Apollon Limassol-
Universitatea Cluj-
Brann-
Valur-
Zrinjski-
Dinamo Tbilisi-
Zalgiris-
Dun. Streda-
Velez Mostar-
Stjarnan-
Ilves-
FK Panevezys-
Tobol-
Neftci Baku-
Din. Minsk-
Zeleznicar Pancevo-
Braga-
Polissya Zhytomyr-
FC Copenhagen-
FC Santa Coloma-
Rapid Vienna-
Alashkert-
CFR Cluj-
Paide Linnameeskond-
Zira FK-
Spartak Trnava-
CSKA 1948 Sofia-
AEK Larnaca-
Beitar Jerusalem-
Borac Banja Luka-
Petrocub Hincesti-
Bissen-
Gyor-
ML Vitebsk-
Sutjeska-
Flora-
TNS-
Floriana-
Drita-
Vardar-
Riga FC-
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