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FC Astana U19 vs Apolonia Fier U19

Europe Europe

UEFA Youth League 2022/2023 Astana Arena
Our Tip

Match Events

35'
Bakyt D.
43' Event
Mezani A.
Assist: Maksuti E.
45'
Rakipaj M.

AI Match Summary

The UEFA Youth League 2022/2023 game between FC Astana U19 and Apolonia Fier U19 finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
FC Astana U19
39%
Draws
30%
Apolonia Fier U19
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Apolonia Fier U19 haven't matched FC Astana U19's recent run of results.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this UEFA Youth League 2022/2023 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 90%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 57.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 26%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
FC Astana U19 Clean Sheet 10%
Apolonia Fier U19 Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Astana U19 Apolonia Fier U19
Matches Played 14 4
Wins 3 1
Draws 2 1
Losses 9 2
Goals Scored 1 1
Goals Conceded 4.5 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 4.50 1.60

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 5, 2022 UEFA Youth League
Apolonia Fier U19 vs FC Astana U19
3:1
Sep 15, 2022 UEFA Youth League
FC Astana U19 vs Apolonia Fier U19
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Astana U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Zhumabekov S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Apolonia Fier U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Mezani A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Astana U19 30 / 100
Apolonia Fier U19 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Astana U19 Apolonia Fier U19

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick APO Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Apolonia Fier U19's defensive record shows goals conceded in 100% of 4 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

FC Astana U19 found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (14 games).

FC Astana U19 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FC Astana U19 VS Apolonia Fier U19
1 Goals Scored 1
4.5 Goals Conceded 1.6
100% Over 1.5 80%
100% Over 2.5 60%
75% Over 3.5 40%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
AZ Alkmaar U196
Shamrock U191
Omonia U191
Crvena zvezda U193
Molde U192
Hibernian U193
Nantes U195
Pyunik Yerevan U190
Young Boys U195
Domzale U192
AIK U198
Racing Luxembourg U192
Genk U195
Slavia Prague U194
Coleraine U195
Pobeda U194
Slavia Sofia U192
Panathinaikos U1910
Zalgiris U192
Trencin U195
FC Astana U192
Apolonia Fier U194
Hajduk Split U195
Gabala U191
Miercurea Ciuc U191
Galatasaray U195
Rukh Lviv U191
Zaglebie U190
SC Ashdod U195
Borac Banja Luka U190
MTK Budapest U194
Jelgava U190
Final
AZ Alkmaar U194
Crvena zvezda U193
Hibernian U193
Nantes U191
Young Boys U194
AIK U193
Genk U1910
Coleraine U191
Panathinaikos U196
Trencin U193
Apolonia Fier U191
Hajduk Split U196
Galatasaray U192
Rukh Lviv U196
SC Ashdod U191
MTK Budapest U192