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FC Astana vs Aksu

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

Premier League 2024 Astana Arena, Astana
Sat, Jun 1, 2024
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FC Astana host Aksu in the Premier League 2024. FC Astana go into this one as the clear favorite. Aksu have shipped 2.75 goals a game lately, while FC Astana have conceded 1.13 and scored 1.63. Past meetings favor FC Astana slightly — 3-0-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 13, 2024, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.23 vs 1.00, favoring FC Astana. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

62%
FC Astana
15%
Draws
23%
Aksu
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FC Astana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to FC Astana lately — more wins on the board than Aksu.
  • Win probability leans FC Astana's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
FC Astana Clean Sheet 20%
Aksu Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Astana Aksu
Matches Played 30 4
Wins 16 1
Draws 7 0
Losses 7 3
Goals Scored 1.63 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.13 2.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 13, 2024 Premier League
Aksu vs FC Astana
0:0
Jun 1, 2024 Premier League
FC Astana vs Aksu
0:0
Jun 3, 2023 Premier League
FC Astana vs Aksu
1:0
May 24, 2023 Premier League
Aksu vs FC Astana
0:1
Jun 19, 2022 Premier League
FC Astana vs Aksu
5:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Astana 76 / 100
Aksu 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Astana Aksu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Astana Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Astana found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Aksu let in goals in 100% of their last 4 matches.

Recent resilience: FC Astana stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Away concern: Aksu has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

FC Astana VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Astana

(Home)
17 Sept
FC Astana
1 : 0
Kairat Almaty
12 Sept
Ordabasy
1 : 0
FC Astana
06 Sept
FC Astana
4 : 0
Yelimay Semey
30 Aug
Atyrau
2 : 3
FC Astana
16 Aug
Kyzylzhar
1 : 1
FC Astana
Page 1 of 6

Aksu

(Away)
19 Mar
FK Kyran
2 : 5
Aksu
13 Mar
Aksu
0 : 3
Zhetisay
26 Feb
Aksu
1 : 3
Tyumen
29 Oct
Aksu
0 : 3
Tobol

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kairat Almaty 24 14 5 5 39:21 47
2 FC Astana 24 14 4 6 39:19 46
3 Aktobe 24 12 7 5 39:26 43
4 Ordabasy 24 12 6 6 36:24 42
5 Tobol 24 11 6 7 33:23 39
6 Yelimay Semey 24 10 7 7 35:32 37
7 Atyrau 24 9 8 7 28:20 35
8 Kaisar Kyzylorda 24 9 7 8 28:29 34
9 Kyzylzhar 24 8 5 11 29:26 29
10 Zhenis 24 6 6 12 18:32 24
11 Zhetysu Taldykorgan 24 5 8 11 17:33 23
12 Turan 24 5 5 14 16:39 20
13 Shakhter Karagandy 24 2 4 18 12:45 10
14 Aksu 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Champions League 2025/2026 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2025/2026 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2025/2026 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2025/2026 (Qualification)
Relegation - First League 2025 (Main)
Relegation - First League 2025 (Main)