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FC Astana vs Altai

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

Premier League Astana Arena, Astana
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Match Events

8' Event
Islamkhan B.
12' Event
Dadaev I.
Assist: Stoisavljevic D.
34' Event
Tomasov M.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between FC Astana and Altai finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FC Astana.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
FC Astana
15%
Draws
32%
Altai
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FC Astana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • FC Astana carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 53% — that's where the model lands on FC Astana taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
FC Astana Clean Sheet 68%
Altai Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Astana Altai
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 16 9
Draws 7 7
Losses 7 14
Goals Scored 1.63 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 2.56 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2026 Premier League
FC Astana vs Altai
4:1
May 27, 2026 Premier League
Altai vs FC Astana
1:1
Apr 10, 2019 Kazakhstan Cup
Altai vs FC Astana
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Astana Compare

Top Goalscorer Islamkhan B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tomasov M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.97
Avg xA / game 1.28

Altai Compare

Top Goalscorer Dadaev I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Astana 86 / 100
Altai 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Astana Altai

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Astana Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: FC Astana scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.33 goals when they meet.

Altai let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Solid form: FC Astana remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

FC Astana VS Altai
2.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Astana

(Home)
17 Sept
FC Astana
1 : 0
Kairat Almaty
12 Sept
Ordabasy
1 : 0
FC Astana
06 Sept
FC Astana
4 : 0
Yelimay Semey
30 Aug
Atyrau
2 : 3
FC Astana
16 Aug
Kyzylzhar
1 : 1
FC Astana
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Altai

(Away)
18 Sept
Altai
1 : 2
Ertis Pavlodar
13 Sept
Ulytau
0 : 3
Altai
06 Sept
Altai
2 : 0
Kaisar Kyzylorda
29 Aug
Zhenis
1 : 0
Altai
19 Aug
Altai
1 : 2
Ordabasy
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ordabasy 26 19 4 3 51:18 61
2 Kairat Almaty 26 17 6 3 51:20 57
3 FC Astana 25 14 6 5 42:25 48
4 Okzhetpes 26 13 6 7 41:35 45
5 Aktobe 26 12 6 8 38:31 42
6 Yelimay Semey 25 10 8 7 35:33 38
7 Tobol 26 10 4 12 33:35 34
8 Zhenis 26 8 8 10 26:32 32
9 Ulytau 26 8 8 10 24:32 32
10 Kaspij Aktau 26 8 5 13 27:36 29
11 Ertis Pavlodar 25 6 8 11 26:34 26
12 Altai 26 6 7 13 26:36 25
13 Kaisar Kyzylorda 26 4 12 10 22:33 24
14 Kyzylzhar 26 6 6 14 26:40 24
15 Atyrau 25 4 11 10 18:28 23
16 Zhetysu Taldykorgan 26 5 7 14 26:44 22
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - First League 2027 (Main)