Sport Picks

Europe

Conference League Astana Arena

Dinamo Tirana

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

FC Astana play Dinamo Tirana in the Conference League. It looks like a close match. Recently, FC Astana averaged 1.74 goals scored and 1.26 conceded. Dinamo Tirana averaged 1.18 goals scored and 1.18 conceded. In past meetings, FC Astana won 2, Dinamo Tirana won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on May 12, 2025 ended 0-1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.56 for FC Astana and 1.25 for Dinamo Tirana. This points to a FC Astana double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%

FC Astana

35%

Draws

29%

Dinamo Tirana

Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: FC Astana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence

FC Astana picked up more points recently compared to Dinamo Tirana.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.56 vs 1.25 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 44%

Over 3.5 Goals 26%

Over 4.5 Goals 13%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 56%

FC Astana Clean Sheet 19%

Dinamo Tirana Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 74%

Second Half Goal 78%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	FC Astana	Dinamo Tirana
Matches Played	27	28
Wins	12	10
Draws	10	9
Losses	5	9
Goals Scored	1.74	1.18
Goals Conceded	1.26	1.18
Expected Goals (xG)	1.38	1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.88	1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2025 Conference League

FC Astana vs Dinamo Tirana

Possession: 54% - 46% Cards: 1 - 2

0-1

Apr 12, 2025 Conference League

Dinamo Tirana vs FC Astana

Possession: 46% - 54% Cards: 1 - 2

1-1

Mar 12, 2025 Conference League

FC Astana vs Dinamo Tirana

Possession: 54% - 46% Cards: 1 - 2

2-1

Feb 12, 2025 Conference League

Dinamo Tirana vs FC Astana

Possession: 46% - 54% Cards: 1 - 2

2-2

Jan 12, 2025 Conference League

FC Astana vs Dinamo Tirana

Possession: 54% - 46% Cards: 1 - 2

2-1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Astana 36 / 100

Dinamo Tirana 28 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

FC Astana Dinamo Tirana

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: FC Astana or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +28.5%

3.57

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +15.7%

2.63

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

FC Astana attacking → ← attacking Dinamo Tirana

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Astana scored in 78% of their last 27 games.

Dinamo Tirana let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

FC Astana went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Dinamo Tirana lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

46 Points in last 5 39

1.38 Goals expected (xG) 1.63

0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.75