Sport Picks
Match Events
20'
20'
Lototskyi B.
Assist: Borodin D.
28'
28'
Bartolec K.
Assist: Karimov R.
40'
40'
Tomasov M.
AI Match Summary
FC Astana in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored FC Astana.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
15%
46%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Okzhetpes
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- FC Astana have won more games recently than Okzhetpes.
- 39% — that's where the model lands on FC Astana taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- FC Astana have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
FC Astana Clean Sheet 13%
Okzhetpes Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | FC Astana | Okzhetpes |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 16 | 15 |
| Draws | 7 | 6 |
| Losses | 7 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.63 | 1.7 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.13 | 1.67 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 9, 2026 Premier League
FC Astana vs Okzhetpes
2:1
May 16, 2026 Premier League
Okzhetpes vs FC Astana
1:0
Sep 28, 2025 Premier League
Okzhetpes vs FC Astana
1:2
Jun 15, 2025 Premier League
FC Astana vs Okzhetpes
5:2
Apr 13, 2025 Kazakhstan Cup
Okzhetpes vs FC Astana
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
FC Astana Compare
Top Goalscorer Bartolec K.
1 Goals Assists Leader Tomasov M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88
Okzhetpes Compare
Top Goalscorer Lototskyi B.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
FC Astana 39 / 100
Okzhetpes 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
FC Astana Okzhetpes
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick FC Astana Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
FC Astana's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Defensive concern: Okzhetpes conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.
Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.
Solid form: FC Astana remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
FC Astana VS Okzhetpes
2.13 Goals Scored 2
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
FC Astana
(Home) 17 Sept
FC Astana
1 : 0 Kairat Almaty
12 Sept
Ordabasy
1 : 0 FC Astana
06 Sept
FC Astana
4 : 0 Yelimay Semey
30 Aug
Atyrau
2 : 3 FC Astana
16 Aug
Kyzylzhar
1 : 1 FC Astana
Page 1 of 6
17 Sept
FC Astana
1 : 0 Kairat Almaty
06 Sept
FC Astana
4 : 0 Yelimay Semey
09 Aug
FC Astana
2 : 1 Okzhetpes
26 Jul
FC Astana
4 : 1 Altai
16 Jul
FC Astana
1 : 4 Dinamo City
Page 1 of 3
Okzhetpes
(Away) 18 Sept
Okzhetpes
3 : 1 Zhenis
13 Sept
Ertis Pavlodar
2 : 1 Okzhetpes
05 Sept
Okzhetpes
2 : 1 Ordabasy
29 Aug
Kaisar Kyzylorda
2 : 3 Okzhetpes
16 Aug
Atyrau
0 : 2 Okzhetpes
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Ertis Pavlodar
2 : 1 Okzhetpes
29 Aug
Kaisar Kyzylorda
2 : 3 Okzhetpes
16 Aug
Atyrau
0 : 2 Okzhetpes
09 Aug
FC Astana
2 : 1 Okzhetpes
25 Jul
Aktobe
2 : 1 Okzhetpes
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ordabasy | 26 | 19 | 4 | 3 | 51:18 | 61 |
| 2 | Kairat Almaty | 26 | 17 | 6 | 3 | 51:20 | 57 |
| 3 | FC Astana | 25 | 14 | 6 | 5 | 42:25 | 48 |
| 4 | Okzhetpes | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 41:35 | 45 |
| 5 | Aktobe | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 38:31 | 42 |
| 6 | Yelimay Semey | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 35:33 | 38 |
| 7 | Tobol | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 33:35 | 34 |
| 8 | Zhenis | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 26:32 | 32 |
| 9 | Ulytau | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 24:32 | 32 |
| 10 | Kaspij Aktau | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 27:36 | 29 |
| 11 | Ertis Pavlodar | 25 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 26:34 | 26 |
| 12 | Altai | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 26:36 | 25 |
| 13 | Kaisar Kyzylorda | 26 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 22:33 | 24 |
| 14 | Kyzylzhar | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 26:40 | 24 |
| 15 | Atyrau | 25 | 4 | 11 | 10 | 18:28 | 23 |
| 16 | Zhetysu Taldykorgan | 26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 26:44 | 22 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - First League 2027 (Main)
