Sport Picks
FC Astana W vs Ertis Pavlodar W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Kazakhstan
League Women 
Match Events
6'
6'
Medvedeva Y.
Assist: Islamgaliqi A.
53'
53'
Bigozhina A.
Assist: Baisseit A.
75'
75'
Zhambyl A.
Assist: Pereyma A.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this League Women matchup, with the score ending 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
15%
42%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FC Astana W
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
42%
/ Low Confidence
- FC Astana W have won more games recently than Ertis Pavlodar W.
- Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
- Regular League Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
FC Astana W Clean Sheet 10%
Ertis Pavlodar W Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | FC Astana W | Ertis Pavlodar W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 18 |
| Wins | 12 | 5 |
| Draws | 3 | 3 |
| Losses | 15 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.67 | 1.11 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.47 | 2.39 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 2.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 14, 2026 League Women
FC Astana W vs Ertis Pavlodar W
2:2
Jun 16, 2026 League Women
Ertis Pavlodar W vs FC Astana W
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
FC Astana W Compare
Top Goalscorer Zhambyl A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Maksot Z.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78
Ertis Pavlodar W Compare
Top Goalscorer Medvedeva Y.
1 Goals Assists Leader Bigozhina A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
FC Astana W 34 / 100
Ertis Pavlodar W 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
FC Astana W Ertis Pavlodar W
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Ertis Pavlodar W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.
Attacking prowess: FC Astana W scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.
Ertis Pavlodar W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 78% of 18 matches.
Ertis Pavlodar W's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
FC Astana W VS Ertis Pavlodar W
0.75 Goals Scored 1.25
3.75 Goals Conceded 2.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
FC Astana W
(Home) 08 Sept
FC Astana W
2 : 0 Tobol W
01 Sept
Kyzylzhar W
7 : 0 FC Astana W
25 Aug
FC Astana W
0 : 7 Aktobe W
18 Aug
Yelimay Semey W
3 : 0 FC Astana W
11 Aug
FC Astana W
1 : 5 Zhenis Astana W
Page 1 of 6
08 Sept
FC Astana W
2 : 0 Tobol W
25 Aug
FC Astana W
0 : 7 Aktobe W
11 Aug
FC Astana W
1 : 5 Zhenis Astana W
28 Jul
FC Astana W
0 : 6 Kyzylzhar W
14 Jul
FC Astana W
2 : 2 Ertis Pavlodar W
Page 1 of 3
Ertis Pavlodar W
(Away) 08 Sept
Zhenis Astana W
2 : 1 Ertis Pavlodar W
28 Aug
Ertis Pavlodar W
0 : 12 Aktobe W
25 Aug
Ertis Pavlodar W
0 : 2 Kyzylzhar W
18 Aug
Shakhter Karagandy W
2 : 1 Ertis Pavlodar W
11 Aug
Ertis Pavlodar W
2 : 0 Altai W
Page 1 of 4
08 Sept
Zhenis Astana W
2 : 1 Ertis Pavlodar W
18 Aug
Shakhter Karagandy W
2 : 1 Ertis Pavlodar W
28 Jul
Aktobe W
9 : 0 Ertis Pavlodar W
14 Jul
FC Astana W
2 : 2 Ertis Pavlodar W
23 Jun
Yelimay Semey W
2 : 2 Ertis Pavlodar W
Page 1 of 2
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BIIK Shymkent W | 16 | 15 | 0 | 1 | 132:5 | 45 |
| 2 | Tomiris-Turan W | 16 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 51:12 | 42 |
| 3 | Kairat W | 16 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 43:25 | 28 |
| 4 | Atyrau W | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 28:30 | 26 |
| 5 | Kaisar Kyzylorda W | 15 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 23:30 | 25 |
| 6 | Ordabasy W | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 16:39 | 18 |
| 7 | Zhetysu W | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 22:43 | 15 |
| 8 | Ulytau W | 16 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 5:70 | 4 |
| 9 | Kaspij Aktau W | 15 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 1:67 | 3 |
Promotion - League Women (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aktobe W | 18 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 166:2 | 54 |
| 2 | Zhenis Astana W | 18 | 14 | 1 | 3 | 71:34 | 43 |
| 3 | Kyzylzhar W | 18 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 66:14 | 41 |
| 4 | Yelimay Semey W | 18 | 9 | 1 | 8 | 35:28 | 28 |
| 5 | Shakhter Karagandy W | 18 | 7 | 2 | 9 | 16:69 | 23 |
| 6 | FC Astana W | 18 | 7 | 1 | 10 | 24:55 | 22 |
| 7 | Tobol W | 18 | 7 | 1 | 10 | 16:48 | 22 |
| 8 | Ertis Pavlodar W | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 20:43 | 18 |
| 9 | Altai W | 18 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 10:65 | 6 |
| 10 | Okzhetpes W | 18 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 13:79 | 6 |
Promotion - League Women (Play Offs)
