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FC Astana W vs Ertis Pavlodar W

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

League Women
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Medvedeva Y.
Assist: Islamgaliqi A.
53' Event
Bigozhina A.
Assist: Baisseit A.
75' Event
Zhambyl A.
Assist: Pereyma A.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this League Women matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
FC Astana W
22%
Draws
18%
Ertis Pavlodar W
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: FC Astana W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • FC Astana W have won more games recently than Ertis Pavlodar W.
  • Model gives FC Astana W a 60% chance of winning this.
  • Regular League Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
FC Astana W Clean Sheet 11%
Ertis Pavlodar W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Astana W Ertis Pavlodar W
Matches Played 30 10
Wins 12 3
Draws 4 3
Losses 14 4
Goals Scored 2 1.38
Goals Conceded 2.25 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 14, 2026 League Women
FC Astana W vs Ertis Pavlodar W
2:2
Jun 16, 2026 League Women
Ertis Pavlodar W vs FC Astana W
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Astana W Compare

Top Goalscorer Zhambyl A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Maksot Z.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Ertis Pavlodar W Compare

Top Goalscorer Medvedeva Y.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bigozhina A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Astana W 56 / 100
Ertis Pavlodar W 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Astana W Ertis Pavlodar W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AST Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ertis Pavlodar W has conceded goals in 80% of their last 10 outings.

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

FC Astana W's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: FC Astana W stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FC Astana W VS Ertis Pavlodar W
2 Goals Scored 1.38
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1BIIK Shymkent W990081:027
2Tomiris-Turan W970222:721
3Kaisar Kyzylorda W961214:1319
4Atyrau W942314:1914
5Kairat W841320:1013
6Ordabasy W932410:2211
7Zhetysu W1022611:248
8Ulytau W90181:361
9Kaspij Aktau W80170:421
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Aktobe W111100108:233
2Zhenis Astana W1081149:1825
3Yelimay Semey W1161428:2019
4Kyzylzhar W1052330:1417
5FC Astana W1051419:2416
6Tobol W1050513:2715
7Ertis Pavlodar W1033414:1512
8Shakhter Karagandy W102175:617
9Okzhetpes W101098:533
10Altai W100195:451