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FC Bacau vs CSM Bacau

Romania Romania

Liga 3 - Seria 1 2024/2025
FC Bacau Logo

FC Bacau

3 - 0
FT
CSM Bacau Logo

CSM Bacau

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Liga 3 - Seria 1 2024/2025 game between FC Bacau and CSM Bacau finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FC Bacau.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
FC Bacau
20%
Draws
22%
CSM Bacau
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: FC Bacau

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • FC Bacau carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans FC Bacau's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Liga 3 - Seria 1 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors FC Bacau here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
FC Bacau Clean Sheet 15%
CSM Bacau Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Bacau CSM Bacau
Matches Played 42 30
Wins 28 13
Draws 4 5
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 2.02 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.14 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2025 Liga 3 - Seria 1
CSM Bacau vs FC Bacau
2:3
Apr 25, 2025 Liga 3 - Seria 1
FC Bacau vs CSM Bacau
3:0
Apr 5, 2025 Liga 3 - Seria 1
CSM Bacau vs FC Bacau
3:1
Mar 8, 2025 Liga 3 - Seria 1
CSM Bacau vs FC Bacau
0:1
Oct 18, 2024 Liga 3 - Seria 1
FC Bacau vs CSM Bacau
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Bacau 84 / 100
CSM Bacau 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Bacau CSM Bacau

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Bacau Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Bacau found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (42 games).

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

CSM Bacau's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

FC Bacau went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FC Bacau VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
2.13 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Bacau

(Home)
19 Sept
FC Bacau
2 : 2
Cetatea Suceava
15 Sept
CSM Resita
0 : 1
FC Bacau
06 Sept
FC Bacau
6 : 1
CSC Dumbravita
03 Sept
FC Bacau
1 : 2
Univ. Craiova
31 Aug
FC Bacau
0 : 0
CSM Slatina
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CSM Bacau

(Away)
30 Jul
CSM Vaslui
15 : 0
CSM Bacau
17 May
CSM Bacau
2 : 3
FC Bacau
10 May
Gloria Ultra
2 : 3
CSM Bacau
03 May
Stiinta Miroslava
3 : 2
CSM Bacau
25 Apr
FC Bacau
3 : 0
CSM Bacau
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Bacau 9 7 0 2 23:11 65
2 Stiinta Miroslava 9 5 1 3 17:12 53
3 CSM Bacau 9 3 2 4 15:20 44
4 Gloria Ultra 9 1 1 7 12:24 34
Promotion - Liga 3 - Seria 1 2024/2025 (Promotion - Play Offs)