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FC Bacau vs Univ. Craiova - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Romania Romania

Romanian Cup Baza Sportiva FC Bacau, Ruși-Ciutea
Our Tip

Match Events

12'
Roux B.
25' Event
Nsimba S.
30'
Heriberto Tavares

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-2. The second leg ended 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
FC Bacau
20%
Draws
52%
Univ. Craiova
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Univ. Craiova

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Univ. Craiova come out ahead of FC Bacau on wins alone.
  • Model gives Univ. Craiova a 52% chance of winning this.
  • Univ. Craiova arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Univ. Craiova, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
FC Bacau Clean Sheet 18%
Univ. Craiova Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Bacau Univ. Craiova
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 14 16
Draws 5 8
Losses 9 4
Goals Scored 1.75 2
Goals Conceded 1.32 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 3, 2026 Romanian Cup
FC Bacau vs Univ. Craiova
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Bacau Compare

Top Goalscorer Ciobanu R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Univ. Craiova Compare

Top Goalscorer Nsimba S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Roux B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Bacau 12 / 100
Univ. Craiova 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Bacau Univ. Craiova

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Univ. Craiova Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Bacau found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (28 games).

Defensive concern: Univ. Craiova conceded in 61% of 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

FC Bacau has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

FC Bacau VS Univ. Craiova
2 Goals Scored 1.63
1 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Bacau

(Home)
03 Oct
Otelul
1 : 1
FC Bacau
19 Sept
FC Bacau
2 : 2
Cetatea Suceava
15 Sept
CSM Resita
0 : 1
FC Bacau
06 Sept
FC Bacau
6 : 1
CSC Dumbravita
03 Sept
FC Bacau
1 : 2
Univ. Craiova
Page 1 of 6

Univ. Craiova

(Away)
04 Oct
CSM Slatina
0 : 4
Univ. Craiova
19 Sept
Univ. Craiova
5 : 0
FCSB
13 Sept
Corvinul Hunedoara
0 : 1
Univ. Craiova
07 Sept
Univ. Craiova
4 : 0
Universitatea Cluj
03 Sept
FC Bacau
1 : 2
Univ. Craiova
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC UTA Arad 1 1 0 0 3:0 3
2 Rapid Bucuresti 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
3 Corvinul Hunedoara 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
4 FC Botosani 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
5 Politehnica Timisoara 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
6 Minerul Lupeni 1 0 0 1 0:3 0
Promotion - Romanian Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Concordia 1 1 0 0 5:2 3
2 CFR Cluj 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
3 Universitatea Cluj 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
4 Petrolul 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
5 Sepsi 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
6 Progresul Spartac 1 0 0 1 2:5 0
Promotion - Romanian Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FCSB 1 1 0 0 5:0 3
2 Miercurea Ciuc 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
3 FC Bihor 1 0 1 0 2:2 1
4 CSM Corona Brasov 1 0 1 0 2:2 1
5 Gloria Bistrita 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
6 Campionii Arges 1 0 0 1 0:5 0
Promotion - Romanian Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dinamo Bucuresti 1 1 0 0 4:1 3
2 Univ. Craiova 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
3 Voluntari 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
4 FC Bacau 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
5 Chindia Targoviste 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
6 Sporting Liesti 1 0 0 1 1:4 0
Promotion - Romanian Cup (Play Offs)