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FC Balagne vs Aubervilliers

France France

National 2 - Group C 2024/2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FC Balagne play Aubervilliers in the National 2 - Group C 2024/2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, FC Balagne averaged 1.76 goals scored and 1.45 conceded. Aubervilliers averaged 1.67 goals scored and 1.83 conceded. In past meetings, FC Balagne won 2, Aubervilliers won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 17, 2025 ended 8:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.56 for FC Balagne and 1.81 for Aubervilliers. This points to a FC Balagne double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
FC Balagne
34%
Draws
21%
Aubervilliers
Draw rate projection: 34% Favored: FC Balagne

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / High Confidence
  • FC Balagne picked up more points recently compared to Aubervilliers.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.56 vs 1.81 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 57%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 57%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66%
FC Balagne Clean Sheet 11%
Aubervilliers Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 74%
Second Half Goal 78%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Balagne Aubervilliers
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 6
Draws 11 11
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 1.76 1.67
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2025 National 2 - Group C
FC Balagne vs Aubervilliers
8:2
Aug 17, 2024 National 2 - Group C
Aubervilliers vs FC Balagne
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Balagne Compare

Top Goalscorer Fernandez M.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Coet R.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Aubervilliers Compare

Top Goalscorer Chery J.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Balagne 43 / 100
Aubervilliers 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Balagne Aubervilliers

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: FC Balagne or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +21.5%
2.70
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.7%
1.96
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

FC Balagne attacking → ← attacking Aubervilliers

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Balagne scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Aubervilliers let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 7.50 goals.

FC Balagne went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Aubervilliers lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

41 Points in last 5 29
1.50 Goals expected (xG) 2.38
1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Fleury-Merogis30178548:2459
2FC Bobigny 9330165942:3553
3Chambly301312548:3148
4Thionville30138948:3947
5FC Balagne301111854:4441
6Beauvais301181133:3141
7Furiani Agliani301013736:3541
8Feignies-Aulnoye301171242:3540
9Creteil301191035:2940
10Biesheim3010101042:3740
11Haguenau301071338:4437
12Epinal309101140:4037
13Chantilly308121036:4636
14Wasquehal30941726:4731
15Aubervilliers304121441:5324
16Villers Houlgate30581725:6423