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FC Bhayangkara vs Arema FC

Indonesia Indonesia

Super League Sumpah Pemuda, Bandar Lampung
Our Tip

Match Events

18'
Sub
Savik A. In: Awan Setho
Out: Savik A.
23'
Joel Vinicius
35'
Pablo Oliveira

AI Match Summary

The Super League game between FC Bhayangkara and Arema FC finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FC Bhayangkara.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
FC Bhayangkara
39%
Draws
30%
Arema FC
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and FC Bhayangkara come out ahead of Arema FC on wins alone.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
FC Bhayangkara Clean Sheet 10%
Arema FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Bhayangkara Arema FC
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 15 11
Draws 4 7
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.75 2
Goals Conceded 2.25 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 10, 2026 Super League
FC Bhayangkara vs Arema FC
2:1
Aug 22, 2025 Super League
Arema FC vs FC Bhayangkara
2:1
Mar 6, 2024 Super League
Arema FC vs FC Bhayangkara
0:0
Sep 1, 2023 Super League
FC Bhayangkara vs Arema FC
0:2
Apr 14, 2023 Super League
Arema FC vs FC Bhayangkara
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Bhayangkara Compare

Top Goalscorer Mbarga P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Arema FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Joel Vinicius
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Bhayangkara 30 / 100
Arema FC 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Bhayangkara Arema FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ARE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: FC Bhayangkara scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Arema FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 28 matches.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

FC Bhayangkara has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

FC Bhayangkara VS Arema FC
1.75 Goals Scored 2
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Bhayangkara

(Home)
23 May
FC Bhayangkara
7 : 0
PSBS Biak Numfor
17 May
Bali United
4 : 1
FC Bhayangkara
11 May
FC Bhayangkara
3 : 1
Madura United
04 May
PSM Makassar
2 : 1
FC Bhayangkara
30 Apr
FC Bhayangkara
2 : 4
Persib Bandung
Page 1 of 6

Arema FC

(Away)
22 May
Arema FC
3 : 1
PSIM Yogyakarta
15 May
PSBS Biak Numfor
2 : 5
Arema FC
09 May
Arema FC
3 : 0
PSM Makassar
03 May
Persik Kediri
3 : 2
Arema FC
28 Apr
Arema FC
0 : 4
Persebaya
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Persib Bandung34247359:2279
2Borneo34254574:3179
3Persija Jakarta34225765:2971
4Persebaya341610861:3558
5FC Bhayangkara341651353:4553
6Malut United341581168:5353
7Dewa United341651344:3753
8Bali United341491157:4851
9Arema FC341391253:4748
10Persita341361538:3745
11PSIM Yogyakarta3411121143:4445
12Persik Kediri341161742:6139
13Persijap Jepara34991631:4536
14Madura United34981737:5435
15PSM Makassar348101639:4934
16Persis Solo348101639:5934
17Semen Padang34552422:6520
18PSBS Biak Numfor34462431:9518
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