Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FC Buzau vs FC UTA Arad

Romania Romania

Superliga 2024/2025 Stadionul Municipal
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FC Buzau play FC UTA Arad in the Superliga 2024/2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, FC Buzau averaged 0.72 goals scored and 1.66 conceded. FC UTA Arad averaged 1.57 goals scored and 0.87 conceded. In past meetings, FC Buzau won 0, FC UTA Arad won 3, and they drew 2. Their last match on May 17, 2025 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.54 for FC Buzau and 1.24 for FC UTA Arad. This points to a FC UTA Arad double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
FC Buzau
23%
Draws
55%
FC UTA Arad
Draw rate projection: 23% Favored: FC UTA Arad

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • FC Buzau picked up more points recently compared to FC UTA Arad.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.54 vs 1.24 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 41%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
FC Buzau Clean Sheet 19%
FC UTA Arad Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 62%
Second Half Goal 66%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Buzau FC UTA Arad
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 7 16
Draws 2 7
Losses 20 7
Goals Scored 0.72 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.66 0.87

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2025 Superliga
FC UTA Arad vs FC Buzau
0:0
Mar 3, 2025 Superliga
FC Buzau vs FC UTA Arad
1:1
Oct 26, 2024 Superliga
FC UTA Arad vs FC Buzau
1:0
Sep 27, 2023 Romanian Cup
FC Buzau vs FC UTA Arad
1:2
Jun 4, 2023 Superliga
FC UTA Arad vs FC Buzau
5:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Buzau Compare

Top Goalscorer Dobrosavlevici A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

FC UTA Arad Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Buzau 24 / 100
FC UTA Arad 52 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Buzau FC UTA Arad

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC UTA Arad Win (2)
Secondary Pick FC UTA Arad & Under 3.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +57.1%
7.14
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +17.3%
2.86
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

FC Buzau attacking → ← attacking FC UTA Arad

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Buzau scored in 38% of their last 29 games.

FC UTA Arad let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

FC Buzau went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

FC UTA Arad lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

23 Points in last 5 55
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.38
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.88

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1FCSB301511443:2456
2CFR Cluj301412456:3254
3Univ. Craiova301410645:2852
4Universitatea Cluj301410643:2752
5Dinamo Bucuresti301312541:2651
6Rapid Bucuresti301113635:2646
7Sepsi301181138:3541
8FC Hermannstadt301181134:4041
9Petrolul30913829:2940
10Farul Constanta308111129:3835
11FC UTA Arad308101228:3534
12Otelul307111224:3232
13Poli Iasi30871529:4631
14FC Botosani307101326:3731
15Unirea Slobozia30751828:4726
16FC Buzau30552025:5120