Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FC Buzau vs Otelul

Romania Romania

Superliga 2024/2025 Stadionul Municipal, Buzau
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Teles Samuel
Assist: Bourard S.
16' Event
Maciel F.
30'
Zivulic D.

AI Match Summary

Otelul in this Superliga 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Otelul.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
FC Buzau
20%
Draws
64%
Otelul
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Otelul

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Otelul lately — more wins on the board than FC Buzau.
  • Model gives Otelul a 64% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
FC Buzau Clean Sheet 16%
Otelul Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Buzau Otelul
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 7 10
Draws 2 8
Losses 20 13
Goals Scored 0.72 1.29
Goals Conceded 1.66 1.68
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.49
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 31, 2025 Superliga
FC Buzau vs Otelul
0:2
Feb 1, 2025 Superliga
Otelul vs FC Buzau
2:1
Sep 14, 2024 Superliga
FC Buzau vs Otelul
0:0
May 16, 2023 Liga 2
FC Buzau vs Otelul
1:0
Apr 13, 2023 Liga 2
Otelul vs FC Buzau
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Buzau Compare

Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Otelul Compare

Top Goalscorer Teles Samuel
1 Goals
Assists Leader Maciel F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Buzau 11 / 100
Otelul 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Buzau Otelul

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Otelul Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Otelul let in goals in 81% of their last 31 matches.

Otelul lost 3 of their last 5 games.

FC Buzau scored in 38% of their last 29 games.

These sides typically produce 1.40 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

- VS Otelul
0 Goals Scored 1.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Buzau

(Home)
30 Jul
CSM Ramnicu Sarat
3 : 0
FC Buzau
17 May
FC UTA Arad
0 : 0
FC Buzau
09 May
FC Buzau
0 : 3
Unirea Slobozia
03 May
Farul Constanta
1 : 0
FC Buzau
27 Apr
FC Buzau
0 : 2
FC Botosani
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Otelul

(Away)
21 Sept
Otelul
2 : 3
Corvinul Hunedoara
14 Sept
Universitatea Cluj
3 : 0
Otelul
06 Sept
Otelul
0 : 1
Rapid Bucuresti
28 Aug
Voluntari
2 : 2
Otelul
24 Aug
Otelul
1 : 0
Campionii Arges
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
7 FC Hermannstadt 9 4 3 2 12:8 36
8 Otelul 9 6 1 2 13:5 35
9 Petrolul 9 3 2 4 10:10 31
10 FC UTA Arad 9 4 2 3 9:11 31
11 Farul Constanta 9 3 4 2 12:9 31
12 FC Botosani 9 4 1 4 11:12 29
13 Poli Iasi 9 3 3 3 9:5 28
14 Unirea Slobozia 9 3 5 1 11:8 27
15 Sepsi 9 1 2 6 7:16 26
16 FC Buzau 9 2 1 6 4:14 17
Relegation - Liga 2 2024/2025 (Promotion)