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FC Cajamarca vs Alianza Atl. - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Peru Peru

Liga 1 Estadio Heroes de San Ramon, Cajamarca
Sat, Nov 7, 2026
VS
08:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FC Cajamarca host Alianza Atl. in the Liga 1. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. FC Cajamarca have averaged 1.39 scored and 2 conceded recently, against Alianza Atl.'s 1.8 scored and 1.46 conceded. Head-to-head, FC Cajamarca have won 0 to Alianza Atl.'s 0, with 1 draws. They last met on May 24, 2026, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 1.38 vs 2.38, favoring Alianza Atl.. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
FC Cajamarca
15%
Draws
76%
Alianza Atl.
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Alianza Atl.

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Alianza Atl. come out ahead of FC Cajamarca on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Liga 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
FC Cajamarca Clean Sheet 10%
Alianza Atl. Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Cajamarca Alianza Atl.
Matches Played 28 35
Wins 6 19
Draws 6 5
Losses 16 11
Goals Scored 1.39 1.8
Goals Conceded 2 1.46
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 Liga 1
Alianza Atl. vs FC Cajamarca
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Cajamarca 30 / 100
Alianza Atl. 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Cajamarca Alianza Atl.

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alianza Atl. let in goals in 80% of their last 35 matches.

FC Cajamarca found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (28 games).

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Solid form: FC Cajamarca remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

FC Cajamarca VS Alianza Atl.
1 Goals Scored 2.75
2 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Cajamarca

(Home)
28 Oct
FC Cajamarca
1 : 3
Cajamarca
25 Oct
Sport Boys
4 : 2
FC Cajamarca
18 Oct
FC Cajamarca
0 : 1
Moquegua
10 Oct
AD Tarma
0 : 0
FC Cajamarca
19 Sept
FC Cajamarca
1 : 2
Cusco
Page 1 of 6

Alianza Atl.

(Away)
28 Oct
Alianza Atl.
3 : 2
Deportivo Garcilaso
24 Oct
Sport Huancayo
4 : 1
Alianza Atl.
18 Oct
Alianza Atl.
1 : 4
Universitario de Deportes
11 Oct
Sport Boys
1 : 3
Alianza Atl.
06 Oct
Alianza Atl.
3 : 0
Sport Boys
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sporting Cristal 14 9 1 4 29:17 28
2 Sport Huancayo 14 9 1 4 23:17 28
3 Universitario de Deportes 13 8 3 2 28:19 27
4 FBC Melgar 14 7 5 2 25:15 26
5 Deportivo Garcilaso 14 8 1 5 26:15 25
6 Juan Pablo II 14 7 4 3 25:16 25
7 A. Lima 14 7 4 3 22:15 25
8 Alianza Atl. 14 8 1 5 28:28 25
9 Cusco 14 8 0 6 25:19 24
10 Sport Boys 13 6 3 4 19:14 21
11 Atletico Grau 14 5 3 6 16:20 18
12 Cienciano 14 5 2 7 19:21 17
13 Comerciantes Unidos 14 3 5 6 24:25 14
14 Los Chankas 14 3 3 8 14:30 12
15 FC Cajamarca 14 3 2 9 21:32 11
16 AD Tarma 14 2 4 8 11:24 10
17 Moquegua 14 2 4 8 8:22 10
18 Cajamarca 14 1 2 11 15:29 5
Promotion - Liga 1 (Play Offs)