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FC Cajamarca vs Cusco - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Peru Peru

Liga 1 Estadio Heroes de San Ramon, Cajamarca
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Colman I.
Assist: Silva N.
26' Event
Arrasco M.
Assist: Meza C.
45' Event
Callejo F.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Cusco in this Liga 1 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cusco.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
FC Cajamarca
15%
Draws
51%
Cusco
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cusco

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Cusco lately — more wins on the board than FC Cajamarca.
  • Win probability leans FC Cajamarca's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
FC Cajamarca Clean Sheet 11%
Cusco Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Cajamarca Cusco
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 7 11
Draws 6 4
Losses 15 15
Goals Scored 1.39 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.82 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Liga 1
FC Cajamarca vs Cusco
1:2
Apr 22, 2026 Liga 1
Cusco vs FC Cajamarca
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Cajamarca Compare

Top Goalscorer Arrasco M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Cusco Compare

Top Goalscorer Colman I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Cajamarca 35 / 100
Cusco 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Cajamarca Cusco

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cusco has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

FC Cajamarca's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Cusco's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

FC Cajamarca VS Cusco
1.88 Goals Scored 1.38
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Cajamarca

(Home)
18 Oct
FC Cajamarca
0 : 1
Moquegua
10 Oct
AD Tarma
0 : 0
FC Cajamarca
19 Sept
FC Cajamarca
1 : 2
Cusco
12 Sept
Los Chankas
1 : 2
FC Cajamarca
04 Sept
FC Cajamarca
2 : 5
Cienciano
Page 1 of 6

Cusco

(Away)
16 Oct
Sport Huancayo
2 : 1
Cusco
11 Oct
Cusco
1 : 2
A. Lima
19 Sept
FC Cajamarca
1 : 2
Cusco
12 Sept
Cusco
0 : 1
FBC Melgar
05 Sept
Cusco
2 : 0
Moquegua
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sporting Cristal 12 8 1 3 25:12 25
2 Sport Huancayo 12 8 1 3 19:14 25
3 Universitario de Deportes 12 7 3 2 25:19 24
4 Juan Pablo II 12 6 4 2 23:13 22
5 FBC Melgar 12 6 4 2 22:13 22
6 Deportivo Garcilaso 12 7 1 4 20:11 22
7 A. Lima 12 6 4 2 19:12 22
8 Alianza Atl. 12 7 1 4 24:22 22
9 Cusco 12 6 0 6 21:18 18
10 Sport Boys 12 5 3 4 15:12 18
11 Atletico Grau 12 5 2 5 15:16 17
12 Cienciano 12 4 2 6 15:18 14
13 Los Chankas 12 3 3 6 13:25 12
14 FC Cajamarca 12 3 2 7 18:25 11
15 Comerciantes Unidos 12 2 4 6 20:23 10
16 Moquegua 12 2 4 6 8:19 10
17 AD Tarma 12 1 3 8 8:23 6
18 Cajamarca 12 0 2 10 11:26 2
Promotion - Liga 1 (Play Offs)