Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FC Cajamarca vs Cusco

Peru Peru

Liga 1 Estadio Heroes de San Ramon, Cajamarca
Sat, Sep 19, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FC Cajamarca host Cusco in the Liga 1. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Cusco have shipped 1.72 goals a game lately, while FC Cajamarca have conceded 1.75 and scored 1.5. Past meetings favor Cusco slightly — 0-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 22, 2026, ending 1:0. xG projections (1.81 - 2.19) back Cusco to edge this. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
FC Cajamarca
15%
Draws
51%
Cusco
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cusco

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Cusco lately — more wins on the board than FC Cajamarca.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
FC Cajamarca Clean Sheet 10%
Cusco Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Cajamarca Cusco
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 8 11
Draws 7 4
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 1.5 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.72
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 22, 2026 Liga 1
Cusco vs FC Cajamarca
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Cajamarca 34 / 100
Cusco 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Cajamarca Cusco

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cusco Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cusco has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

FC Cajamarca's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Recent resilience: FC Cajamarca stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FC Cajamarca VS Cusco
1.5 Goals Scored 2.13
2.25 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Cajamarca

(Home)
28 Aug
Comerciantes Unidos
2 : 3
FC Cajamarca
21 Aug
FC Cajamarca
1 : 3
Atletico Grau
16 Aug
FC Cajamarca
2 : 3
Universitario de Deportes
09 Aug
FBC Melgar
2 : 4
FC Cajamarca
01 Aug
FC Cajamarca
0 : 2
Sport Huancayo
Page 1 of 6

Cusco

(Away)
31 Aug
Cienciano
1 : 2
Cusco
23 Aug
Deportivo Garcilaso
4 : 1
Cusco
14 Aug
Cusco
2 : 0
Juan Pablo II
07 Aug
Comerciantes Unidos
3 : 1
Cusco
01 Aug
Cusco
4 : 1
Cajamarca
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Deportivo Garcilaso 7 5 1 1 10:3 16
2 Universitario de Deportes 7 5 1 1 15:9 16
3 Sport Boys 7 4 2 1 11:4 14
4 Alianza Atl. 7 4 1 2 14:11 13
5 Atletico Grau 7 4 1 2 8:5 13
6 Cusco 7 4 0 3 15:12 12
7 A. Lima 7 3 3 1 10:7 12
8 Juan Pablo II 7 3 2 2 13:10 11
9 FBC Melgar 7 3 2 2 11:8 11
10 Sporting Cristal 7 3 1 3 10:8 10
11 Sport Huancayo 7 3 1 3 10:10 10
12 Comerciantes Unidos 7 2 2 3 14:13 8
13 FC Cajamarca 7 2 1 4 13:16 7
14 Moquegua 7 1 4 2 6:9 7
15 Los Chankas 7 2 1 4 9:16 7
16 Cienciano 7 1 1 5 5:13 4
17 Cajamarca 7 0 2 5 6:16 2
18 AD Tarma 7 0 2 5 5:15 2
Promotion - Liga 1 (Play Offs)