Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FC Cajamarca vs Llacuabamba

Peru Peru

Copa de la Liga Estadio Heroes de San Ramon, Cajamarca
Our Tip

Match Events

54' Event
Sanchez D.
79' Event
Ocas F.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-1. The second leg ended 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
FC Cajamarca
20%
Draws
50%
Llacuabamba
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Llacuabamba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Llacuabamba carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 50% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Llacuabamba arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor FC Cajamarca, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
FC Cajamarca Clean Sheet 16%
Llacuabamba Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Cajamarca Llacuabamba
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 13
Draws 8 7
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 1.38 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.69 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 20, 2026 Copa de la Liga
FC Cajamarca vs Llacuabamba
1:1
May 23, 2025 Liga 2
Llacuabamba vs FC Cajamarca
0:0
Apr 6, 2025 Liga 2
FC Cajamarca vs Llacuabamba
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Cajamarca Compare

Top Goalscorer Ocas F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Llacuabamba Compare

Top Goalscorer Sanchez D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Cajamarca 31 / 100
Llacuabamba 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Cajamarca Llacuabamba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Llacuabamba Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Cajamarca scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Llacuabamba has conceded goals in 59% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 1.33 goals as a typical output.

FC Cajamarca went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FC Cajamarca VS Llacuabamba
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Cajamarca

(Home)
21 Aug
FC Cajamarca
1 : 3
Atletico Grau
16 Aug
FC Cajamarca
2 : 3
Universitario de Deportes
09 Aug
FBC Melgar
2 : 4
FC Cajamarca
01 Aug
FC Cajamarca
0 : 2
Sport Huancayo
27 Jul
Deportivo Garcilaso
2 : 1
FC Cajamarca
Page 1 of 6

Llacuabamba

(Away)
23 Aug
Cesar Vallejo
2 : 0
Llacuabamba
08 Aug
ADA Jaen
0 : 0
Llacuabamba
01 Aug
Llacuabamba
3 : 0
U. San Martin
19 Jul
Carlos Mannucci
1 : 0
Llacuabamba
20 Jun
FC Cajamarca
1 : 1
Llacuabamba
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alianza Atl. 3 3 0 0 5:1 9
2 Carlos Mannucci 3 2 0 1 6:4 6
3 A. Lima 3 0 1 2 2:5 1
4 Cesar Vallejo 3 0 1 2 2:5 1
Promotion - Copa de la Liga (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ADA Jaen 2 1 1 0 2:0 4
2 Juan Pablo II 2 0 2 0 0:0 2
3 Comerciantes Unidos 2 0 1 1 0:2 1
Promotion - Copa de la Liga (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cajamarca 2 1 1 0 5:3 4
2 Llacuabamba 2 0 2 0 3:3 2
3 FC Cajamarca 2 0 1 1 2:4 1
Promotion - Copa de la Liga (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico Grau 2 1 1 0 4:3 4
2 Pirata 2 1 0 1 4:3 3
3 Universitario de Deportes 2 0 1 1 1:3 1
Promotion - Copa de la Liga (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sport Huancayo 3 2 1 0 4:2 7
2 AD Tarma 3 1 1 1 3:2 4
3 Alianza Huanuco 3 1 1 1 5:5 4
4 Union Minas 3 0 1 2 2:5 1
Promotion - Copa de la Liga (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cienciano 3 3 0 0 6:2 9
2 Deportivo Garcilaso 3 1 1 1 5:3 4
3 Binacional 3 1 0 2 5:9 3
4 Cusco 3 0 1 2 4:6 1
Promotion - Copa de la Liga (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Los Chankas 2 2 0 0 4:0 6
2 Santos FC 2 1 0 1 2:4 3
3 Ayacucho 2 0 0 2 1:3 0
Promotion - Copa de la Liga (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Moquegua 2 1 1 0 3:2 4
2 Tacna Heroica 2 1 0 1 5:5 3
3 FBC Melgar 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
Promotion - Copa de la Liga (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sport Boys 2 1 1 0 5:2 4
2 AD Cantolao 2 1 0 1 4:6 3
3 U. San Martin 2 0 1 1 5:6 1
Promotion - Copa de la Liga (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sporting Cristal 3 2 1 0 5:2 7
2 Comerciantes FC 3 1 2 0 2:1 5
3 Union Comercio 3 1 0 2 3:4 3
4 Estudiantil CNI 3 0 1 2 2:5 1
Promotion - Copa de la Liga (Play Offs)