Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FC Cajamarca vs Sporting Cristal

Peru Peru

Liga 1 Estadio Heroes de San Ramon, Cajamarca
Our Tip

Match Events

22'
Gonzalez J.
24' Event
Yotun Y.
Assist: Abram L.
25'
Palacios B.

AI Match Summary

The Liga 1 game between FC Cajamarca and Sporting Cristal finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FC Cajamarca.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
FC Cajamarca
15%
Draws
57%
Sporting Cristal
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sporting Cristal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sporting Cristal come out ahead of FC Cajamarca on wins alone.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Sporting Cristal taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 39.2%
FC Cajamarca Clean Sheet 10%
Sporting Cristal Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Cajamarca Sporting Cristal
Matches Played 29 33
Wins 7 15
Draws 7 5
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 1.48 1.64
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 15, 2026 Liga 1
FC Cajamarca vs Sporting Cristal
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Cajamarca Compare

Top Goalscorer Barcos H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Betancourt J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Sporting Cristal Compare

Top Goalscorer Yotun Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.1
Avg xA / game 1.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Cajamarca 10 / 100
Sporting Cristal 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Cajamarca Sporting Cristal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sporting Cristal Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

FC Cajamarca found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Sporting Cristal let in goals in 76% of their last 33 matches.

FC Cajamarca has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

FC Cajamarca VS Sporting Cristal
1.88 Goals Scored 2.13
2.5 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Cajamarca

(Home)
19 Sept
FC Cajamarca
1 : 2
Cusco
12 Sept
Los Chankas
1 : 2
FC Cajamarca
04 Sept
FC Cajamarca
2 : 5
Cienciano
28 Aug
Comerciantes Unidos
2 : 3
FC Cajamarca
21 Aug
FC Cajamarca
1 : 3
Atletico Grau
Page 1 of 6

Sporting Cristal

(Away)
19 Sept
Sporting Cristal
3 : 1
Atletico Grau
13 Sept
Moquegua
1 : 2
Sporting Cristal
06 Sept
Sporting Cristal
5 : 0
Los Chankas
30 Aug
Sport Boys
1 : 0
Sporting Cristal
26 Aug
Sporting Cristal
4 : 1
Sport Huancayo
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 A. Lima 17 12 4 1 30:8 40
2 Los Chankas 17 10 4 3 25:21 34
3 Cienciano 17 10 3 4 34:22 33
4 Universitario de Deportes 17 8 5 4 24:15 29
5 FBC Melgar 17 8 4 5 29:20 28
6 Cusco 17 8 3 6 21:24 27
7 Deportivo Garcilaso 17 7 5 5 21:18 26
8 Alianza Atl. 17 5 6 6 20:18 21
9 Comerciantes Unidos 17 5 6 6 18:20 21
10 AD Tarma 17 5 5 7 22:21 20
11 Sport Boys 17 5 5 7 15:19 20
12 Sporting Cristal 17 5 4 8 28:30 19
13 Cajamarca 17 4 6 7 21:26 18
14 Moquegua 17 5 3 9 17:24 18
15 FC Cajamarca 17 4 5 8 23:28 17
16 Atletico Grau 17 4 4 9 12:18 16
17 Sport Huancayo 17 4 4 9 21:31 16
18 Juan Pablo II 17 4 4 9 22:40 16
Promotion - Liga 1 (Play Offs)