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FC Camaguey vs CF Granma

Cuba Cuba

Liga Nacional 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FC Camaguey play CF Granma in the Liga Nacional 2023. It looks like a close match. Recently, FC Camaguey averaged 1.5 goals scored and 1.04 conceded. CF Granma averaged 0.89 goals scored and 1.67 conceded. In past meetings, FC Camaguey won 3, CF Granma won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Feb 3, 2024 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.44 for FC Camaguey and 1.19 for CF Granma. This points to a FC Camaguey double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

55%
FC Camaguey
21%
Draws
24%
CF Granma
Draw rate projection: 21% Favored: FC Camaguey

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

84% / High Confidence
  • FC Camaguey picked up more points recently compared to CF Granma.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.44 vs 1.19 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 66%
Over 2.5 Goals 47%
Over 3.5 Goals 28%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 42%
FC Camaguey Clean Sheet 20%
CF Granma Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 59%
Second Half Goal 63%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Camaguey CF Granma
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 14 7
Draws 6 5
Losses 8 15
Goals Scored 1.5 0.89
Goals Conceded 1.04 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 3, 2024 Liga Nacional
FC Camaguey vs CF Granma
0:0
Mar 18, 2023 Liga Nacional
FC Camaguey vs CF Granma
3:0
Apr 2, 2022 Liga Nacional
CF Granma vs FC Camaguey
2:3
Feb 12, 2022 Liga Nacional
FC Camaguey vs CF Granma
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Camaguey 54 / 100
CF Granma 24 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Camaguey CF Granma

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Camaguey Win (1)
Secondary Pick FC Camaguey & Under 3.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +17.1%
2.13
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.7%
2.44
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

FC Camaguey attacking → ← attacking CF Granma

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Camaguey scored in 79% of their last 28 games.

CF Granma let in goals in 74% of their last 27 matches.

Games between these two average 2.25 goals.

FC Camaguey went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

CF Granma lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

48 Points in last 5 26
1.38 Goals expected (xG) 1.00
1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1FC Cienfuegos761014:219
2FC La Habana752011:217
3Matanzas740311:812
4Artemisa731315:810
5FC Villa Clara72146:117
6Isla de La Juventud72145:107
7Pinar del Rio71246:155
8Mayabeque Guines71064:163
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1FC Santiago de Cuba742114:514
2FC Guantanamo742112:614
3FC Holguin74129:713
4FC Camaguey73319:412
5CF Granma73045:99
6FC Sancti Spiritus72142:67
7FC Ciego de Avila72145:107
8Las Tunas70253:122