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FC Camaguey vs CF Granma Prediction & H2H Stats

Cuba Cuba

Liga Nacional 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FC Camaguey in this Liga Nacional 2023 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored FC Camaguey.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
FC Camaguey
15%
Draws
28%
CF Granma
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FC Camaguey

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to FC Camaguey lately — more wins on the board than CF Granma.
  • FC Camaguey are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors FC Camaguey here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
FC Camaguey Clean Sheet 20%
CF Granma Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Camaguey CF Granma
Matches Played 30 27
Wins 16 7
Draws 6 5
Losses 8 15
Goals Scored 1.63 0.89
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 3, 2024 Liga Nacional
FC Camaguey vs CF Granma
0:0
Mar 18, 2023 Liga Nacional
FC Camaguey vs CF Granma
3:0
Apr 2, 2022 Liga Nacional
CF Granma vs FC Camaguey
2:3
Feb 12, 2022 Liga Nacional
FC Camaguey vs CF Granma
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Camaguey 85 / 100
CF Granma 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Camaguey CF Granma

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Camaguey Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: FC Camaguey scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: CF Granma conceded in 74% of 27 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.25 goals per match.

CF Granma lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FC Camaguey VS CF Granma
1.38 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Camaguey

(Home)
14 Jun
FC Camaguey
3 : 0
FC Sancti Spiritus
07 Jun
FC Ciego de Avila
2 : 1
FC Camaguey
24 May
Las Tunas
5 : 2
FC Camaguey
17 May
FC Camaguey
2 : 1
FC Ciego de Avila
03 May
FC Camaguey
0 : 1
Las Tunas
Page 1 of 6

CF Granma

(Away)
14 Jun
CF Granma
0 : 6
FC Guantanamo
24 May
FC Holguin
1 : 0
CF Granma
17 May
FC Santiago de Cuba
1 : 0
CF Granma
10 May
FC Guantanamo
3 : 2
CF Granma
03 May
CF Granma
3 : 2
FC Holguin
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Cienfuegos 7 6 1 0 14:2 19
2 FC La Habana 7 5 2 0 11:2 17
3 Matanzas 7 4 0 3 11:8 12
4 Artemisa 7 3 1 3 15:8 10
5 FC Villa Clara 7 2 1 4 6:11 7
6 Isla de La Juventud 7 2 1 4 5:10 7
7 Pinar del Rio 7 1 2 4 6:15 5
8 Mayabeque Guines 7 1 0 6 4:16 3
Promotion - Liga Nacional 2023 (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional 2023 (Clausura)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Santiago de Cuba 7 4 2 1 14:5 14
2 FC Guantanamo 7 4 2 1 12:6 14
3 FC Holguin 7 4 1 2 9:7 13
4 FC Camaguey 7 3 3 1 9:4 12
5 CF Granma 7 3 0 4 5:9 9
6 FC Sancti Spiritus 7 2 1 4 2:6 7
7 FC Ciego de Avila 7 2 1 4 5:10 7
8 Las Tunas 7 0 2 5 3:12 2
Promotion - Liga Nacional 2023 (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional 2023 (Clausura)