Sport Picks

Cuba

Liga Nacional

FC Camaguey

1 - 0

Las Tunas

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

FC Camaguey in this Liga Nacional matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored FC Camaguey.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%

FC Camaguey

22%

Draws

60%

Las Tunas

Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Las Tunas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence

FC Camaguey have won more games recently than Las Tunas.
Las Tunas are the model's pick here, at 60%.
Regular Liga Nacional form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%

FC Camaguey Clean Sheet 20%

Las Tunas Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	FC Camaguey	Las Tunas
Matches Played	27	29
Wins	13	9
Draws	6	6
Losses	8	14
Goals Scored	1.13	1.25
Goals Conceded	0.75	0.63
Expected Goals (xG)	1.13	1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.75	0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2025 Liga Nacional

Las Tunas vs FC Camaguey

Possession: 58% - 54% Cards: 4 - 3

5:2

May 3, 2025 Liga Nacional

FC Camaguey vs Las Tunas

Possession: 42% - 56% Cards: 3 - 1

0:1

Mar 29, 2025 Liga Nacional

Las Tunas vs FC Camaguey

Possession: 46% - 54% Cards: 1 - 0

2:3

Mar 8, 2025 Liga Nacional

FC Camaguey vs Las Tunas

Possession: 58% - 59% Cards: 3 - 3

1:0

Mar 1, 2023 Liga Nacional

Las Tunas vs FC Camaguey

Possession: 50% - 54% Cards: 1 - 1

1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Camaguey 20 / 100

Las Tunas 57 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

FC Camaguey Las Tunas

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TUN Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

FC Camaguey found the back of the net in 78% of recent matches (27 games).

Las Tunas's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

Solid form: FC Camaguey remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

FC Camaguey VS Las Tunas

1.13 Goals Scored 1.25

0.75 Goals Conceded 0.63

50% Over 1.5 38%

25% Over 2.5 38%

25% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	FC La Habana	11	7	3	1	21:12	24
2	Artemisa	12	4	4	4	18:19	16
3	Isla de La Juventud	11	3	2	6	10:16	11
4	Pinar del Rio	10	2	3	5	11:13	9

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	FC Cienfuegos	12	6	4	2	20:11	22
2	FC Villa Clara	12	6	4	2	16:7	22
3	Matanzas	12	3	3	6	10:13	12
4	Mayabeque Guines	12	2	3	7	11:26	9

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Las Tunas	12	7	1	4	20:13	22
2	FC Ciego de Avila	12	6	2	4	16:9	20
3	FC Camaguey	11	5	2	4	17:14	17
4	FC Sancti Spiritus	11	1	3	7	3:20	6

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	FC Guantanamo	12	8	3	1	25:6	27
2	FC Santiago de Cuba	11	4	3	4	12:11	15
3	FC Holguin	12	3	4	5	12:19	13
4	CF Granma	11	2	2	7	9:22	8