Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 13

Match Events

63'

Gimenez F.

90'

Marin J.

90'

Marin J.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

FC Cartagena SAD B host Aguilas FC B in the Tercera RFEF - Group 13. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: FC Cartagena SAD B at 0.88 goals for, 1.25 against; Aguilas FC B at 1.63 for, 0.5 against. Past meetings favor FC Cartagena SAD B slightly — 1-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 21, 2026, ending 1:0. xG projections (0.69 - 1.44) back Aguilas FC B to edge this. Aguilas FC B in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

FC Cartagena SAD B

39%

Draws

30%

Aguilas FC B

Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence

Aguilas FC B has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to FC Cartagena SAD B.
Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 39% draw probability.
League standings and seasonal metrics in Tercera RFEF - Group 13 provide steady trend data.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 69%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 13%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%

FC Cartagena SAD B Clean Sheet 16%

Aguilas FC B Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	FC Cartagena SAD B	Aguilas FC B
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	7	12
Draws	10	8
Losses	13	10
Goals Scored	0.88	1.63
Goals Conceded	1.25	0.5
Expected Goals (xG)	0.88	1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.25	0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 13

FC Cartagena SAD B vs Aguilas FC B

Possession: 43% - 51% Cards: 0 - 4

1:0

Oct 12, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 13

Aguilas FC B vs FC Cartagena SAD B

Possession: 58% - 54% Cards: 1 - 3

0:0

Feb 9, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 13

Aguilas FC B vs FC Cartagena SAD B

Possession: 50% - 42% Cards: 4 - 3

1:0

Sep 29, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 13

FC Cartagena SAD B vs Aguilas FC B

Possession: 59% - 55% Cards: 4 - 3

0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Cartagena SAD B Compare

Top Goalscorer Gimenez F.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.68

Avg xA / game 0.44

Aguilas FC B Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48

Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Cartagena SAD B 31 / 100

Aguilas FC B 41 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

FC Cartagena SAD B Aguilas FC B

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AGU Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Cartagena SAD B scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Aguilas FC B let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 0.50 goals.

FC Cartagena SAD B went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Aguilas FC B lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FC Cartagena SAD B VS Aguilas FC B

0.88 Goals Scored 1.63

1.25 Goals Conceded 0.5

75% Over 1.5 63%

25% Over 2.5 50%

13% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Ciudad Cieza	34	21	10	3	65:21	73
2	Real Murcia B	34	17	8	9	59:44	59
3	Molinense	34	17	8	9	46:34	59
4	Club Olimpico de Totana	34	15	13	6	44:27	58
5	Mazarron CF	34	14	14	6	50:33	56
6	UCAM Murcia B	34	13	16	5	55:37	55
7	Aguilas FC B	34	14	10	10	47:42	52
8	CA Pulpileno	34	13	11	10	30:29	50
9	Santa Cruz	34	14	6	14	35:37	48
10	Minerva	34	11	11	12	28:39	44
11	Bala Azul	34	8	16	10	39:36	40
12	FC Cartagena SAD B	34	9	11	14	40:39	38
13	Deportivo Maritimo	34	9	9	16	38:46	36
14	E.G. El Palmar	34	8	8	18	27:48	32
15	Santomera	34	8	8	18	38:64	32
16	Caravaca	34	6	13	15	33:44	31
17	Muleno CF	34	6	13	15	33:58	31
18	Yeclano B	34	6	9	19	25:54	27