Sport Picks
FC Cartagena SAD vs Aguilas FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Spain
Primera RFEF - Group 2 Estadio Municipal Cartagonova, Cartagena 
Match Events
5'
5'
Heredia A.
16'
16'
Ribeiro I.
(Penalty)
24'
24'
Villa T.
AI Match Summary
The Primera RFEF - Group 2 game between FC Cartagena SAD and Aguilas FC finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FC Cartagena SAD.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
30%
23%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: FC Cartagena SAD
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Aguilas FC carry the better recent record into this one.
- FC Cartagena SAD are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- These two have met 4 times recently and FC Cartagena SAD have taken 3 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
FC Cartagena SAD Clean Sheet 68%
Aguilas FC Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | FC Cartagena SAD | Aguilas FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 28 |
| Wins | 11 | 14 |
| Draws | 9 | 4 |
| Losses | 7 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.04 | 1.32 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.93 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 3, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 2
FC Cartagena SAD vs Aguilas FC
4:1
Aug 6, 2025 Club Friendly
Aguilas FC vs FC Cartagena SAD
0:1
Jul 26, 2023 Club Friendly
Aguilas FC vs FC Cartagena SAD
0:0
Aug 3, 2011 Club Friendly
Aguilas FC vs FC Cartagena SAD
1:5
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
FC Cartagena SAD Compare
Top Goalscorer Villa T.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
Aguilas FC Compare
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
FC Cartagena SAD 95 / 100
Aguilas FC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
FC Cartagena SAD Aguilas FC
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick FC Cartagena SAD Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
FC Cartagena SAD found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (27 games).
Defensive concern: Aguilas FC conceded in 68% of 28 recent games.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
FC Cartagena SAD has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
FC Cartagena SAD VS Aguilas FC
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
FC Cartagena SAD
(Home) 07 Oct
FC Cartagena SAD
1 : 0 Murcia
03 Oct
FC Cartagena SAD
4 : 1 Aguilas FC
20 Sept
Zaragoza
1 : 0 FC Cartagena SAD
12 Sept
Rayo Majadahonda
1 : 1 FC Cartagena SAD
05 Sept
FC Cartagena SAD
0 : 0 Gimnastic de Tarragona
Page 1 of 6
07 Oct
FC Cartagena SAD
1 : 0 Murcia
03 Oct
FC Cartagena SAD
4 : 1 Aguilas FC
05 Sept
FC Cartagena SAD
0 : 0 Gimnastic de Tarragona
23 Aug
FC Cartagena SAD
1 : 1 Deportiva Minera
12 Aug
FC Cartagena SAD
3 : 0 Orihuela
Page 1 of 3
Aguilas FC
(Away) 03 Oct
FC Cartagena SAD
4 : 1 Aguilas FC
26 Sept
Aguilas FC
0 : 1 Hercules
20 Sept
Algeciras
1 : 1 Aguilas FC
12 Sept
Aguilas FC
1 : 0 Real Madrid B
05 Sept
Sant Andreu
2 : 0 Aguilas FC
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
FC Cartagena SAD
4 : 1 Aguilas FC
20 Sept
Algeciras
1 : 1 Aguilas FC
05 Sept
Sant Andreu
2 : 0 Aguilas FC
12 Aug
Ciudad Cieza
1 : 2 Aguilas FC
06 Aug
Lorca Deportiva
1 : 0 Aguilas FC
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zaragoza | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 12:6 | 15 |
| 2 | Villarreal B | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 15:9 | 14 |
| 3 | Alcorcon | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 13:5 | 12 |
| 4 | Jaen | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11:8 | 12 |
| 5 | Murcia | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10:7 | 12 |
| 6 | FC Cartagena SAD | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9:4 | 11 |
| 7 | Huesca | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 9:9 | 10 |
| 8 | UD Ibiza | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9:9 | 10 |
| 9 | Hercules | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 5:5 | 10 |
| 10 | Antequera | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 10:8 | 9 |
| 11 | Real Madrid B | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8:7 | 9 |
| 12 | Atl. Madrid B | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11:8 | 8 |
| 13 | Sant Andreu | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:7 | 8 |
| 14 | Gimnastic de Tarragona | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9:11 | 8 |
| 15 | Algeciras | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8:11 | 7 |
| 16 | Aguilas FC | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7:12 | 6 |
| 17 | Teruel | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3:12 | 5 |
| 18 | Rayo Majadahonda | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5:7 | 4 |
| 19 | CE Europa | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:10 | 4 |
| 20 | Torremolinos | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 8:18 | 2 |
Promotion - LaLiga2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Primera RFEF - Group 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
