Sport Picks
FC Cartagena SAD vs Alcorcon
Spain
Primera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 Estadio Municipal Cartagonova, Cartagena 
Match Events
21'
21'
Ballesteros Y.
23'
23'
Redondo L.
33'
33'
Marchan R.
AI Match Summary
The Primera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 game between FC Cartagena SAD and Alcorcon finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FC Cartagena SAD.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
27%
35%
38%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Alcorcon
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
38%
/ Low Confidence
- FC Cartagena SAD carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Alcorcon a 38% chance of winning this.
- Regular Primera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
FC Cartagena SAD Clean Sheet 19%
Alcorcon Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | FC Cartagena SAD | Alcorcon |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 10 |
| Draws | 9 | 12 |
| Losses | 7 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.07 | 1.52 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.93 | 0.93 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.94 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 8, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 2
FC Cartagena SAD vs Alcorcon
2:1
Jan 3, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Alcorcon vs FC Cartagena SAD
1:1
May 4, 2024 LaLiga2
FC Cartagena SAD vs Alcorcon
1:0
Dec 6, 2023 Copa del Rey
Alcorcon vs FC Cartagena SAD
0:1
Oct 23, 2023 LaLiga2
Alcorcon vs FC Cartagena SAD
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
FC Cartagena SAD Compare
Top Goalscorer Redondo L.
1 Goals Assists Leader De Blasis P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47
Alcorcon Compare
Top Goalscorer Ballesteros Y.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
FC Cartagena SAD 24 / 100
Alcorcon 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
FC Cartagena SAD Alcorcon
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Alcorcon Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
FC Cartagena SAD's goal record stands at 64% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Alcorcon's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 29 matches.
Games between these two average 1.80 goals.
Recent resilience: FC Cartagena SAD stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
FC Cartagena SAD VS Alcorcon
1 Goals Scored 1.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
FC Cartagena SAD
(Home) 07 Oct
FC Cartagena SAD
1 : 0 Murcia
03 Oct
FC Cartagena SAD
4 : 1 Aguilas FC
20 Sept
Zaragoza
1 : 0 FC Cartagena SAD
12 Sept
Rayo Majadahonda
1 : 1 FC Cartagena SAD
05 Sept
FC Cartagena SAD
0 : 0 Gimnastic de Tarragona
Page 1 of 6
07 Oct
FC Cartagena SAD
1 : 0 Murcia
03 Oct
FC Cartagena SAD
4 : 1 Aguilas FC
05 Sept
FC Cartagena SAD
0 : 0 Gimnastic de Tarragona
23 Aug
FC Cartagena SAD
1 : 1 Deportiva Minera
12 Aug
FC Cartagena SAD
3 : 0 Orihuela
Page 1 of 3
Alcorcon
(Away) 03 Oct
Alcorcon
5 : 0 Torremolinos
27 Sept
Real Madrid B
1 : 2 Alcorcon
20 Sept
Alcorcon
3 : 0 Gimnastic de Tarragona
12 Sept
Antequera
1 : 1 Alcorcon
06 Sept
Alcorcon
0 : 0 CE Europa
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Real Madrid B
1 : 2 Alcorcon
12 Sept
Antequera
1 : 1 Alcorcon
30 Aug
Aguilas FC
2 : 2 Alcorcon
18 Aug
Unionistas de Salamanca
1 : 0 Alcorcon
14 Aug
AD Merida
2 : 1 Alcorcon
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Eldense | 38 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 57:39 | 69 |
| 2 | Sabadell | 38 | 18 | 14 | 6 | 53:27 | 68 |
| 3 | Atl. Madrid B | 38 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 64:44 | 67 |
| 4 | Villarreal B | 38 | 16 | 15 | 7 | 54:32 | 63 |
| 5 | CE Europa | 38 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 55:50 | 60 |
| 6 | FC Cartagena SAD | 38 | 15 | 12 | 11 | 37:38 | 57 |
| 7 | Antequera | 38 | 16 | 8 | 14 | 47:44 | 56 |
| 8 | Algeciras | 38 | 15 | 10 | 13 | 40:41 | 55 |
| 9 | Hercules | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 43:41 | 54 |
| 10 | Murcia | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 43:40 | 52 |
| 11 | Alcorcon | 38 | 12 | 15 | 11 | 44:38 | 51 |
| 12 | UD Ibiza | 38 | 13 | 11 | 14 | 44:38 | 50 |
| 13 | Teruel | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 27:33 | 49 |
| 14 | Gimnastic de Tarragona | 38 | 13 | 8 | 17 | 40:49 | 47 |
| 15 | Torremolinos | 38 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 45:51 | 46 |
| 16 | Betis B | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 48:59 | 45 |
| 17 | Tarazona | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 31:40 | 45 |
| 18 | Marbella | 38 | 9 | 7 | 22 | 36:55 | 34 |
| 19 | Sanluqueno | 38 | 7 | 10 | 21 | 27:53 | 31 |
| 20 | Sevilla B | 38 | 5 | 13 | 20 | 21:44 | 28 |
Promotion - LaLiga2 (Main)
Promotion - Primera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
