Sport Picks

Spain

Primera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 Estadio Municipal Cartagonova

FC Cartagena SAD

1 - 0

Gimnastic de Tarragona

Our Tip

Match Events

20'

Isabel C.

34'

Baz I.

35'

Montalvo M.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Primera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 game between FC Cartagena SAD and Gimnastic de Tarragona finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FC Cartagena SAD.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%

FC Cartagena SAD

20%

Draws

38%

Gimnastic de Tarragona

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: FC Cartagena SAD

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence

Gimnastic de Tarragona haven't matched FC Cartagena SAD's recent run of results.
Win probability leans FC Cartagena SAD's way, sitting at 42%.
Regular Primera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 33%

Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 3%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%

FC Cartagena SAD Clean Sheet 20%

Gimnastic de Tarragona Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	FC Cartagena SAD	Gimnastic de Tarragona
Matches Played	30	29
Wins	11	9
Draws	8	6
Losses	11	14
Goals Scored	1.13	0.75
Goals Conceded	0.88	1.13
Expected Goals (xG)	1.13	0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.88	1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 2

FC Cartagena SAD vs Gimnastic de Tarragona

Possession: 55% - 52% Cards: 3 - 3

1:0

Dec 14, 2025 Primera RFEF - Group 2

Gimnastic de Tarragona vs FC Cartagena SAD

Possession: 56% - 58% Cards: 2 - 0

2:0

Mar 17, 2012 LaLiga2

FC Cartagena SAD vs Gimnastic de Tarragona

Possession: 55% - 46% Cards: 4 - 2

1:3

Oct 9, 2011 LaLiga2

Gimnastic de Tarragona vs FC Cartagena SAD

Possession: 49% - 60% Cards: 2 - 1

0:0

Mar 5, 2011 LaLiga2

Gimnastic de Tarragona vs FC Cartagena SAD

Possession: 55% - 41% Cards: 3 - 1

2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Cartagena SAD Compare

Top Goalscorer De Blasis P.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.87

Avg xA / game 0.56

Gimnastic de Tarragona Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68

Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Cartagena SAD 42 / 100

Gimnastic de Tarragona 37 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

FC Cartagena SAD Gimnastic de Tarragona

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Cartagena SAD scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Gimnastic de Tarragona conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Solid form: FC Cartagena SAD remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

FC Cartagena SAD VS Gimnastic de Tarragona

1.13 Goals Scored 0.75

0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13

50% Over 1.5 63%

38% Over 2.5 25%

13% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Eldense	38	19	12	7	57:39	69
2	Sabadell	38	18	14	6	53:27	68
3	Atl. Madrid B	38	19	10	9	64:44	67
4	Villarreal B	38	16	15	7	54:32	63
5	CE Europa	38	16	12	10	55:50	60
6	FC Cartagena SAD	38	15	12	11	37:38	57
7	Antequera	38	16	8	14	47:44	56
8	Algeciras	38	15	10	13	40:41	55
9	Hercules	38	14	12	12	43:41	54
10	Murcia	38	14	10	14	43:40	52
11	Alcorcon	38	12	15	11	44:38	51
12	UD Ibiza	38	13	11	14	44:38	50
13	Teruel	38	12	13	13	27:33	49
14	Gimnastic de Tarragona	38	13	8	17	40:49	47
15	Torremolinos	38	11	13	14	45:51	46
16	Betis B	38	12	9	17	48:59	45
17	Tarazona	38	11	12	15	31:40	45
18	Marbella	38	9	7	22	36:55	34
19	Sanluqueno	38	7	10	21	27:53	31
20	Sevilla B	38	5	13	20	21:44	28