Sport Picks
FC Cartagena SAD vs Murcia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Spain
Primera RFEF - Group 2 Estadio Municipal Cartagonova, Cartagena 
Match Events
76'
76'
Sub
Moreno Sanchez J. In: Bustos A.
Out: Moreno Sanchez J.
76'
76'
Sub
Bosilj D. In: Gimenez A.
Out: Bosilj D.
82'
82'
Claveria P.
AI Match Summary
The Primera RFEF - Group 2 game between FC Cartagena SAD and Murcia finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FC Cartagena SAD.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
38%
20%
42%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Murcia
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- Murcia carry the better recent record into this one.
- FC Cartagena SAD are the model's pick here, at 42%.
- Regular Primera RFEF - Group 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- FC Cartagena SAD have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
FC Cartagena SAD Clean Sheet 16%
Murcia Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | FC Cartagena SAD | Murcia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 34 |
| Wins | 12 | 15 |
| Draws | 9 | 5 |
| Losses | 9 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.03 | 1.41 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.07 | 1.24 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 7, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 2
FC Cartagena SAD vs Murcia
1:0
Feb 22, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Murcia vs FC Cartagena SAD
1:2
Dec 8, 2025 Primera RFEF - Group 2
FC Cartagena SAD vs Murcia
0:1
Aug 5, 2023 Club Friendly
FC Cartagena SAD vs Murcia
3:1
Aug 10, 2021 Club Friendly
FC Cartagena SAD vs Murcia
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
FC Cartagena SAD Compare
Top Goalscorer Baz I.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Murcia Compare
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
FC Cartagena SAD 41 / 100
Murcia 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
FC Cartagena SAD Murcia
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
FC Cartagena SAD scored in 63% of their last 30 games.
Murcia has conceded goals in 76% of their last 34 outings.
Games between these two average 2.20 goals.
Solid form: FC Cartagena SAD remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
FC Cartagena SAD VS Murcia
1.13 Goals Scored 2
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
FC Cartagena SAD
(Home) 07 Oct
FC Cartagena SAD
1 : 0 Murcia
03 Oct
FC Cartagena SAD
4 : 1 Aguilas FC
20 Sept
Zaragoza
1 : 0 FC Cartagena SAD
12 Sept
Rayo Majadahonda
1 : 1 FC Cartagena SAD
05 Sept
FC Cartagena SAD
0 : 0 Gimnastic de Tarragona
Page 1 of 6
07 Oct
FC Cartagena SAD
1 : 0 Murcia
03 Oct
FC Cartagena SAD
4 : 1 Aguilas FC
05 Sept
FC Cartagena SAD
0 : 0 Gimnastic de Tarragona
23 Aug
FC Cartagena SAD
1 : 1 Deportiva Minera
12 Aug
FC Cartagena SAD
3 : 0 Orihuela
Page 1 of 3
Murcia
(Away) 07 Oct
FC Cartagena SAD
1 : 0 Murcia
04 Oct
Murcia
2 : 0 Gimnastic de Tarragona
30 Sept
Navalcarnero
3 : 1 Murcia
19 Sept
Murcia
2 : 1 CE Europa
16 Sept
Orihuela
1 : 4 Murcia
Page 1 of 7
07 Oct
FC Cartagena SAD
1 : 0 Murcia
30 Sept
Navalcarnero
3 : 1 Murcia
16 Sept
Orihuela
1 : 4 Murcia
13 Sept
Atl. Madrid B
4 : 0 Murcia
09 Sept
Mensajero
1 : 2 Murcia
Page 1 of 5
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zaragoza | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 12:6 | 15 |
| 2 | Villarreal B | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12:6 | 13 |
| 3 | Alcorcon | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 13:4 | 12 |
| 4 | Murcia | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10:7 | 12 |
| 5 | FC Cartagena SAD | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9:4 | 11 |
| 6 | Jaen | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8:5 | 11 |
| 7 | Hercules | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 5:5 | 10 |
| 8 | Antequera | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 10:8 | 9 |
| 9 | UD Ibiza | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8:8 | 9 |
| 10 | Huesca | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7:7 | 9 |
| 11 | Atl. Madrid B | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11:8 | 8 |
| 12 | Real Madrid B | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:6 | 8 |
| 13 | Sant Andreu | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:7 | 8 |
| 14 | Gimnastic de Tarragona | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:9 | 7 |
| 15 | Algeciras | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8:11 | 7 |
| 16 | Aguilas FC | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:10 | 5 |
| 17 | Rayo Majadahonda | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5:7 | 4 |
| 18 | CE Europa | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:10 | 4 |
| 19 | Teruel | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2:12 | 2 |
| 20 | Torremolinos | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6:16 | 1 |
Promotion - LaLiga2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Primera RFEF - Group 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
