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FC Cascavel vs Coritiba

Brazil Brazil

Paranaense Estádio Olímpico Regional Jacy Miguel Scanagatta
Our Tip

Match Events

34'
Borech
38'
Sub
Samuel Tiba In: Kauhe Galdino
Out: Samuel Tiba
45'
Pedro Pecanha

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Paranaense matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
FC Cascavel
40%
Draws
29%
Coritiba
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Coritiba have won more games recently than FC Cascavel.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Paranaense form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
FC Cascavel Clean Sheet 20%
Coritiba Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Cascavel Coritiba
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 10 13
Draws 11 8
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 24, 2026 Paranaense
FC Cascavel vs Coritiba
1:1
Jan 19, 2025 Paranaense
FC Cascavel vs Coritiba
1:0
Feb 25, 2024 Paranaense
FC Cascavel vs Coritiba
1:0
Mar 11, 2023 Paranaense
Coritiba vs FC Cascavel
0:0
Mar 5, 2023 Paranaense
FC Cascavel vs Coritiba
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Cascavel Compare

Top Goalscorer Nascimento da Silva V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Coritiba Compare

Top Goalscorer Jacy
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Cascavel 32 / 100
Coritiba 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Cascavel Coritiba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Cascavel scored in 63% of their last 32 games.

Coritiba let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: FC Cascavel stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FC Cascavel VS Coritiba
1 Goals Scored 1.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
38% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Londrina642014:314
2Foz do Iguacu632111:1011
3Athletico-PR631210:610
4Sao Joseense63124:310
5Maringa FC62229:78
6FC Cascavel61325:66
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Azuriz63215:411
2Coritiba62227:78
3Cianorte61418:87
4Operario-PR61234:85
5Clube Andraus Brasil61146:134
6Galo Maringa61055:133