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FC Cascavel vs Gremio

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Willian Santos
39' Event
Carlos Vinicius
64' Event
Carlos Vinicius

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between FC Cascavel and Gremio finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gremio.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
FC Cascavel
15%
Draws
73%
Gremio
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gremio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Gremio carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Gremio's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 26.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
FC Cascavel Clean Sheet 19%
Gremio Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Cascavel Gremio
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 7 11
Draws 9 7
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 0.93 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.09 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 27, 2026 Club Friendly
FC Cascavel vs Gremio
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Cascavel Compare

Top Goalscorer Willian Santos
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.84
Avg xA / game 0.55

Gremio Compare

Top Goalscorer Carlos Vinicius
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.13
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Cascavel 28 / 100
Gremio 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Cascavel Gremio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gremio Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Cascavel's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Gremio has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Gremio has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

FC Cascavel VS Gremio
0.8 Goals Scored 0.88
1.6 Goals Conceded 1.38
60% Over 1.5 63%
60% Over 2.5 38%
40% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Cascavel

(Home)
12 Sept
FC Cascavel
2 : 3
Athletico-PR B
05 Sept
Parana
2 : 1
FC Cascavel
29 Aug
FC Cascavel
1 : 3
Foz do Iguacu
12 Jul
FC Cascavel
1 : 1
Corinthians
28 Jun
Marcilio Dias
2 : 1
FC Cascavel
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Gremio

(Away)
16 Sept
Botafogo RJ
3 : 2
Gremio
12 Sept
Gremio
1 : 2
Vasco
07 Sept
Vitoria
1 : 0
Gremio
03 Sept
Gremio
3 : 1
Internacional
30 Aug
Gremio
3 : 1
Chapecoense-SC
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