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FC Cascavel vs Gremio

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Willian Santos
39' Event
Carlos Vinicius
64' Event
Carlos Vinicius

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between FC Cascavel and Gremio finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gremio.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
FC Cascavel
39%
Draws
30%
Gremio
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Gremio carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
FC Cascavel Clean Sheet 16%
Gremio Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Cascavel Gremio
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 9 11
Draws 11 9
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 1.13 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 27, 2026 Club Friendly
FC Cascavel vs Gremio
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Cascavel Compare

Top Goalscorer Willian Santos
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Gremio Compare

Top Goalscorer Carlos Vinicius
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Cascavel 31 / 100
Gremio 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Cascavel Gremio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GRE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Cascavel's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Gremio registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Gremio conceded in 57% of 28 recent games.

Scoring Trends

FC Cascavel VS Gremio
1.13 Goals Scored 1.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%