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FC Cascavel vs Maringa FC

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Club Friendly 2025
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AI Match Summary

FC Cascavel play Maringa FC in the Club Friendly 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, FC Cascavel averaged 0.9 goals scored and 0.86 conceded. Maringa FC averaged 1.93 goals scored and 1.36 conceded. In past meetings, FC Cascavel won 2, Maringa FC won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Dec 22, 2025 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.44 for FC Cascavel and 1.31 for Maringa FC. This points to a Maringa FC double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
FC Cascavel
28%
Draws
40%
Maringa FC
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Maringa FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence
  • FC Cascavel picked up more points recently compared to Maringa FC.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.44 vs 1.31 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 45%
Over 3.5 Goals 27%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 47%
FC Cascavel Clean Sheet 18%
Maringa FC Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 57%
Second Half Goal 60%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Cascavel Maringa FC
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 9 13
Draws 10 8
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 0.9 1.93
Goals Conceded 0.86 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 22, 2025 Club Friendly
FC Cascavel vs Maringa FC
0:0
Feb 1, 2025 Paranaense
FC Cascavel vs Maringa FC
2:0
Dec 21, 2024 Club Friendly
FC Cascavel vs Maringa FC
0:2
Mar 9, 2024 Paranaense
Maringa FC vs FC Cascavel
3:1
Mar 4, 2024 Paranaense
FC Cascavel vs Maringa FC
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Cascavel 32 / 100
Maringa FC 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Cascavel Maringa FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Maringa FC or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +33.4%
4.17
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +15.2%
2.56
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

FC Cascavel attacking → ← attacking Maringa FC

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Cascavel scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

Maringa FC let in goals in 71% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

FC Cascavel went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Maringa FC lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

37 Points in last 5 47
1.13 Goals expected (xG) 1.63
1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.75