Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Covilha in this Taça de Portugal 2018/2019 tie, finishing 1-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
30%
31%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: FC Cesarense
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
31%
/ Low Confidence
- Covilha have won more games recently than FC Cesarense.
- 31% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Covilha arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Covilha, who have won 2 of the last 2 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
FC Cesarense Clean Sheet 22%
Covilha Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | FC Cesarense | Covilha |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 2 | 9 |
| Draws | 12 | 8 |
| Losses | 16 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 0.83 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.73 | 1.21 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.17 | 1.05 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 30, 2018 Taça de Portugal
FC Cesarense vs Covilha
1:2
Sep 28, 2014 Taça de Portugal
FC Cesarense vs Covilha
1:3
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
FC Cesarense 37 / 100
Covilha 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
FC Cesarense Covilha
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Covilha Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.
FC Cesarense found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).
Covilha let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.
Solid form: FC Cesarense remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
- VS Covilha
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
FC Cesarense
(Home) 12 May
FC Cesarense
0 : 0 Amarante FC
05 May
Cinfaes
0 : 2 FC Cesarense
28 Apr
FC Cesarense
1 : 4 SC Espinho
20 Apr
Maritimo B
2 : 2 FC Cesarense
14 Apr
FC Cesarense
0 : 4 Lusitano FCV
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12 May
FC Cesarense
0 : 0 Amarante FC
28 Apr
FC Cesarense
1 : 4 SC Espinho
14 Apr
FC Cesarense
0 : 4 Lusitano FCV
31 Mar
FC Cesarense
1 : 2 Sanjoanense
17 Mar
FC Cesarense
0 : 2 Gondomar
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Covilha
(Away) 05 Sept
Mafra
1 : 0 Covilha
30 Aug
Covilha
0 : 1 Mortagua FC
22 Aug
Covilha
0 : 3 Atletico CP
16 Aug
Vitoria Sernache
0 : 0 Covilha
08 Aug
Covilha
2 : 0 Santarem
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05 Sept
Mafra
1 : 0 Covilha
16 Aug
Vitoria Sernache
0 : 0 Covilha
25 Apr
Caldas SC
1 : 1 Covilha
18 Apr
Lusitano GC
1 : 0 Covilha
21 Mar
1º Dezembro
1 : 2 Covilha
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Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/128-finals
FC Porto -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sanjoanense 2
Nogueirense 0
GD Uniao Torcatense 1
SC Vila Real 2
Amora 3
Louletano 2
Regua 2
Lamego 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
BSAD -
Covilha -
TBD -
Meda 0
FC Cesarense 1
Mafra -
TBD -
Valenciano 0
AD Limianos 4
Sao Martinho 6
Machico 1
Lusitano FCV 2
Beira Mar 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Moreirense -
Tondela -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira 2
Uniao SC 1
TBD -
Estoril -
Coimbroes -
TBD -
TBD -
Mirandes -
Leiria 2
SB Castelo Branco 1
TBD -
Vale Formoso -
Anadia 3
Penalva do Castelo 1
Praia Milfontes 0
Aljustrelense 1
Tomar 2
UC Idanhense 1
TBD -
Vilafranquense -
Amarante FC 6
AD Oliveirense 0
TBD -
Vila Flor -
Leca -
TBD -
TBD -
Leixoes -
Aves -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Varzim -
TBD -
Alverca 1
Sacavenense 2
Portimonense -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gondomar 2
Leca 0
TBD -
Cova De Piedade -
Santa Clara -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
CD Torres Novas -
TBD -
Mirandes 0
Maria de Fonte 4
Pedras Salgadas 3
CDC Montalegre 2
TBD -
Academica -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chaves -
Vitoria Setubal -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Beneditense -
TBD -
Juv. Evora 1
Armacenenses 3
AD Fafe 2
GD Joane 0
TBD -
Sporting Ideal -
Trofense 1
Vizela 0
TBD -
Penafiel -
SC Praiense 3
Redondense 0
Vale Formoso 0
Pinhalnovense 5
SC Lourinhanense -
TBD -
Gafetense 0
Santa Iria 8
FC Felgueiras 9
Vila Flor 0
TBD -
GD Joane -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Braga -
Benfica -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vitoria Sernache 1
Alcains 0
Beneditense 0
Sertanense 2
SC Farense -
TBD -
TBD -
Portalegrense -
Cacadores Taipas 3
Vilaverdense FC 2
TBD -
Arouca -
Agueda 2
Trancoso 1
TBD -
Famalicao -
Valadares Gaia FC 1
Paredes 0
TBD -
Louletano -
Oriental 3
FC Barreirense 1
Ferreiras 0
Lusitano GC 1
GD Peniche 2
SC Lourinhanense 1
TBD -
CDC Montalegre -
Boavista -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Oliveirense -
TBD -
TBD -
Fatima -
Academico Viseu -
TBD -
TBD -
Alverca -
Sintrense 2
1º Dezembro 1
Cinfaes 0
SC Espinho 1
U. Madeira 3
Lusitania FC 1
Vieira 1
Merelinense 3
GRAP / Grupo Recreativo Amigos Da Paz 2
CD Torres Novas 0
TBD -
Uniao SC -
Valenciano -
TBD -
TBD -
Praia Milfontes -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vitoria Guimaraes -
Feirense -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Real SC 2
Sporting Ideal 0
Pedras Rubras 1
SC Mirandela 2
Moura AC 1
Almancilense 0
Coimbroes 0
Rio Tinto 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Maritimo -
Casa Pia 6
Graciosa FC 0
CD Rabo Peixe 0
Montijo 1
Vila Silgueiros -
TBD -
Maritimo Graciosa 0
SC Angrense 3
Gafanha 2
Vila Silgueiros 0
Vilafranquense 0
Caldas SC 1
Condeixa 3
Macao 2
TBD -
Pacos Ferreira -
Rio Ave -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Eirense 2
CD Gouveia 0
Coutada 0
Torreense 2
Chaves B 6
Vinhais 1
SC Vianense 0
Gil Vicente 1
Paredes -
TBD -
Olhanense 0
Silves FC 1
Lusitano FCV -
TBD -
FC Pampilhosa 0
Oliveira Hospital 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nacional -
GS Loures 6
Portalegrense 1
Fatima 0
Oleiros 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sporting CP -
1/64-finals
FC Porto -
TBD -
Sanjoanense 2
SC Vila Real 3
Amora 8
Lamego 0
TBD -
BSAD -
Covilha 2
FC Cesarense 1
Mafra 1
AD Limianos 2
Sao Martinho 1
Beira Mar 0
TBD -
Moreirense -
Tondela -
TBD -
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira 0
Estoril 1
Coimbroes 3
Mirandes 2
Leiria 0
Vale Formoso 3
Anadia 3
Aljustrelense 1
Tomar 0
Vilafranquense 3
Amarante FC 5
Vila Flor 0
Leca 0
Leixoes 3
Aves -
TBD -
Varzim 1
Sacavenense 2
Portimonense -
TBD -
Gondomar 1
Cova De Piedade 2
Santa Clara -
TBD -
CD Torres Novas 0
Maria de Fonte 4
Pedras Salgadas 1
Academica 0
TBD -
Chaves -
Vitoria Setubal -
TBD -
Beneditense 0
Armacenenses 3
AD Fafe 1
Sporting Ideal 0
Trofense 2
Penafiel 3
SC Praiense 5
Pinhalnovense 1
SC Lourinhanense 1
Santa Iria 3
FC Felgueiras 2
GD Joane 0
TBD -
Braga -
Benfica -
TBD -
Vitoria Sernache 1
Sertanense 3
SC Farense 3
Portalegrense 0
Cacadores Taipas 0
Arouca 1
Agueda 1
Famalicao 0
Valadares Gaia FC 0
Louletano 1
Oriental 3
Lusitano GC 1
GD Peniche 1
CDC Montalegre 3
Boavista -
TBD -
Oliveirense 0
Fatima 1
Academico Viseu 3
Alverca 0
Sintrense 0
SC Espinho 1
U. Madeira 3
Merelinense 0
GRAP / Grupo Recreativo Amigos Da Paz 2
Uniao SC 4
Valenciano 5
Praia Milfontes 2
TBD -
Vitoria Guimaraes -
Feirense -
TBD -
Real SC 0
SC Mirandela 1
Moura AC 4
Rio Tinto 1
TBD -
Maritimo -
Casa Pia 2
Montijo 0
Vila Silgueiros 0
SC Angrense 2
Gafanha 2
Caldas SC 1
Condeixa 1
Pacos Ferreira 3
Rio Ave -
TBD -
Eirense 0
Torreense 3
Chaves B 1
Gil Vicente 0
Paredes 1
Silves FC 2
Lusitano FCV 2
Oliveira Hospital 1
TBD -
Nacional -
GS Loures 1
Oleiros 0
TBD -
Sporting CP -
1/32-finals
FC Porto 6
SC Vila Real 0
Amora 3
BSAD 4
Covilha 2
AD Limianos 0
Sao Martinho 0
Moreirense 1
Tondela 2
Estoril 1
Coimbroes 3
Vale Formoso 4
Anadia 4
Vilafranquense 0
Amarante FC 1
Leixoes 3
Aves 3
Sacavenense 1
Portimonense 1
Cova De Piedade 2
Santa Clara 2
Maria de Fonte 1
Pedras Salgadas 1
Chaves 4
Vitoria Setubal 2
Armacenenses 1
AD Fafe 0
Penafiel 1
SC Praiense 2
Santa Iria 0
FC Felgueiras 0
Braga 1
Benfica 3
Sertanense 0
SC Farense 1
Arouca 3
Agueda 1
Louletano 0
Oriental 1
CDC Montalegre 2
Boavista 4
Fatima 1
Academico Viseu 3
SC Espinho 4
U. Madeira 2
Uniao SC 0
Valenciano 0
Vitoria Guimaraes 7
Feirense 2
SC Mirandela 1
Moura AC 0
Maritimo 1
Casa Pia 2
SC Angrense 1
Gafanha 0
Pacos Ferreira 2
Rio Ave 5
Torreense 1
Chaves B 1
Silves FC 2
Lusitano FCV 4
Nacional 3
GS Loures 1
Sporting CP 2
1/16-finals
FC Porto 2
BSAD 0
Covilha 0
Moreirense 3
Tondela 7
Vale Formoso 0
Anadia 0
Leixoes 1
Aves 3
Cova De Piedade 0
Santa Clara 1
Chaves 2
Vitoria Setubal 4
Penafiel 1
SC Praiense 1
Braga 2
Benfica 2
Arouca 1
Agueda 0
CDC Montalegre 1
Boavista 4
SC Espinho 0
U. Madeira 0
Vitoria Guimaraes 2
Feirense 3
Maritimo 0
Casa Pia 1
Pacos Ferreira 3
Rio Ave 7
Silves FC 0
Lusitano FCV 1
Sporting CP 4
1/8-finals
FC Porto 4
Moreirense 3
Tondela 2
Leixoes 3
Aves 2
Chaves 0
Vitoria Setubal 0
Braga 1
Benfica 1
CDC Montalegre 0
Boavista 0
Vitoria Guimaraes 1
Feirense 2
Pacos Ferreira 1
Rio Ave 2
Sporting CP 5
Quarter-finals
FC Porto 2
Leixoes 1
Aves 1
Braga 2
Benfica 1
Vitoria Guimaraes 0
Feirense 0
Sporting CP 2
Semi-finals
FC Porto 4
Braga 1
Benfica 2
Sporting CP 2
Final
FC Porto 2
Sporting CP 3
