Sport Picks
FC Cesarense vs Moimenta da Beira - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Portugal
Taça de Portugal 2016/2017 
AI Match Summary
Moimenta da Beira in this Taça de Portugal 2016/2017 tie, finishing 1-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
30%
31%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: FC Cesarense
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
31%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to FC Cesarense lately — more wins on the board than Moimenta da Beira.
- Win probability leans Moimenta da Beira's way, sitting at 40%.
- FC Cesarense have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor FC Cesarense, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
FC Cesarense Clean Sheet 10%
Moimenta da Beira Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | FC Cesarense | Moimenta da Beira |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 35 | 30 |
| Wins | 5 | 4 |
| Draws | 13 | 8 |
| Losses | 17 | 18 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 0.93 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.57 | 1.6 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.94 | 1.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 23, 2017 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
FC Cesarense vs Moimenta da Beira
1:0
Mar 5, 2017 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Moimenta da Beira vs FC Cesarense
1:2
Jan 29, 2017 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
FC Cesarense vs Moimenta da Beira
2:1
Nov 6, 2016 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Moimenta da Beira vs FC Cesarense
1:0
Sep 4, 2016 Taça de Portugal
FC Cesarense vs Moimenta da Beira
1:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
FC Cesarense 26 / 100
Moimenta da Beira 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
FC Cesarense Moimenta da Beira
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Moimenta da Beira Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Moimenta da Beira let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.
FC Cesarense's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 35 recent games.
H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.
FC Cesarense went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
FC Cesarense VS Moimenta da Beira
0.88 Goals Scored 2
1.88 Goals Conceded 3
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 100%
Recent Form & Match History
FC Cesarense
(Home) 12 May
FC Cesarense
0 : 0 Amarante FC
05 May
Cinfaes
0 : 2 FC Cesarense
28 Apr
FC Cesarense
1 : 4 SC Espinho
20 Apr
Maritimo B
2 : 2 FC Cesarense
14 Apr
FC Cesarense
0 : 4 Lusitano FCV
Page 1 of 7
12 May
FC Cesarense
0 : 0 Amarante FC
28 Apr
FC Cesarense
1 : 4 SC Espinho
14 Apr
FC Cesarense
0 : 4 Lusitano FCV
31 Mar
FC Cesarense
1 : 2 Sanjoanense
17 Mar
FC Cesarense
0 : 2 Gondomar
Page 1 of 4
Moimenta da Beira
(Away) 11 Sept
Moimenta da Beira
2 : 3 Cinfaes
14 May
Mortagua FC
0 : 2 Moimenta da Beira
07 May
Moimenta da Beira
0 : 0 CD Gouveia
30 Apr
Gondomar
2 : 0 Moimenta da Beira
23 Apr
FC Cesarense
1 : 0 Moimenta da Beira
Page 1 of 6
14 May
Mortagua FC
0 : 2 Moimenta da Beira
30 Apr
Gondomar
2 : 0 Moimenta da Beira
23 Apr
FC Cesarense
1 : 0 Moimenta da Beira
09 Apr
Anadia
3 : 2 Moimenta da Beira
19 Mar
CD Gouveia
0 : 3 Moimenta da Beira
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/128-finals
Vitoria Guimaraes -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Beneditense 2
Sp. Lourel 1
Malveira 1
Santa Iria 2
Leiria 10
CF Os Gavionenses 0
TBD -
Portimonense -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Boavista -
Pacos Ferreira -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Moura AC 2
Beira-Mar Almada 0
TBD -
Aves -
Vitoria Sernache 1
Ac. Fundao 0
FC Felgueiras 1
Camacha 2
Vilaverdense FC 3
Vilar de Perdizes 0
TBD -
Vilafranquense -
Braga -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Barrosas -
TBD -
Sendim 1
AD Oliveirense 8
Rio Ave -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lusitano GC -
TBD -
TBD -
Santa Clara -
Varzim -
TBD -
TBD -
Anadia -
Sousense -
TBD -
GD Tourizense 2
Agueda 3
Freamunde -
TBD -
TBD -
Cerva -
GD Joane 1
Barrosas 0
TBD -
Covilha -
Sporting CP -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Mosteirense 3
SL Cartaxo 2
TBD -
Famalicao -
SC Farense 2
Lusitano GC 0
Sao Roque 0
SC Angrense 1
Coimbroes 3
Gondomar 0
Sporting Ideal 0
SC Praiense 2
SB Castelo Branco 8
Naval 0
Alianca de Gandra 0
Santa Eulalia 1
Torre De Moncorvo 2
Aguiar da Beira 1
SC Espinho 0
Cinfaes 4
Trofense 5
CF Canical 0
CD Gouveia 0
Beira Mar 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vitoria Setubal -
Torreense 1
Mafra 0
SC Mirandela 2
Maria de Fonte 3
Gafetense 1
Sintrense 0
TBD -
Academico Viseu -
Estarreja 4
FC Pampilhosa 1
CDC Montalegre 0
Ponte da Barca 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nacional -
FC Porto -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Atletico Arcos 1
GD Uniao Torcatense 0
Anadia 1
Gafanha 2
U. Madeira -
TBD -
FC Cesarense 1
Moimenta da Beira 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chaves -
Estoril -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sao Roque -
TBD -
Fazendense 0
Caldas SC 3
Mortagua FC 1
Nogueirense 0
TBD -
CF Os Gavionenses -
Viana Alentejo 3
CDR Quarteirense 0
TBD -
Cova De Piedade -
Gil Vicente -
TBD -
TBD -
CD Rabo Peixe -
Pinhalnovense 2
Lagoa 0
TBD -
Casa Pia -
Lusitano VRSA 3
Louletano 0
Casa Pia 2
Fabril do Barreiro 3
Pedras Salgadas 1
GD Braganca 0
SC Salgueiros 2
Sanjoanense 4
Penafiel -
TBD -
Trancoso 0
Oliveirense 2
Penalva do Castelo 3
Academica Coimbra SF 2
Cerva 0
Amarante FC 2
Moreirense -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Alcobaca 1
GD Sourense 0
TBD -
Vizela -
Feirense -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sendim -
TBD -
Vinha da Rainha 1
Alcanenense 4
BSAD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
CD Gouveia -
TBD -
TBD -
Academica -
Leixoes -
TBD -
Cruzado Canicense 1
Pedras Rubras 4
Almancilense 1
Amora 0
Cerveira 0
Merelinense 3
FC Barreirense 2
Operario 1
Sousense 0
Valadares Gaia FC 2
GS Loures 2
Vilafranquense 1
FC Flamengos 0
Oriental 4
Aljustrelense 4
Praia Milfontes 1
Redondense 1
Armacenenses 6
Alcains 2
Oleiros 0
Aguia Vimioso 1
AD Limianos 5
Sertanense 1
Marinhense 0
AD Satao 1
Lusitano FCV 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tondela -
Real SC 3
CD Rabo Peixe 0
Raimonda 0
Sao Martinho 6
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Arouca -
Fatima 2
Carapinheirense 0
TBD -
FC Pampilhosa -
Sacavenense 4
Atletico CP 0
TBD -
Olhanense -
Maritimo -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
AD Fafe -
TBD -
TBD -
Naval -
1º Dezembro 3
SC Lusitania 2
TBD -
Sp. Lourel -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Benfica -
1/64-finals
Vitoria Guimaraes -
TBD -
Beneditense 0
Santa Iria 3
Leiria 3
Portimonense 2
TBD -
Boavista -
Pacos Ferreira -
TBD -
Moura AC 0
Aves 4
Vitoria Sernache 2
Camacha 1
Vilaverdense FC 0
Vilafranquense 1
Braga -
TBD -
Barrosas 2
AD Oliveirense 3
Rio Ave -
TBD -
Lusitano GC 0
Santa Clara 3
Varzim 1
Anadia 0
Sousense 1
Agueda 2
Freamunde 5
Cerva 0
GD Joane 0
Covilha 1
Sporting CP -
TBD -
Mosteirense 0
Famalicao 2
SC Farense 2
SC Angrense 0
Coimbroes 2
SC Praiense 5
SB Castelo Branco 3
Santa Eulalia 1
Torre De Moncorvo 0
Cinfaes 3
Trofense 6
Beira Mar 1
TBD -
Vitoria Setubal -
Torreense 3
Maria de Fonte 0
Gafetense 1
Academico Viseu 3
Estarreja 3
Ponte da Barca 1
TBD -
Nacional -
FC Porto -
TBD -
Atletico Arcos 0
Gafanha 2
U. Madeira 1
Moimenta da Beira 0
TBD -
Chaves -
Estoril -
TBD -
Sao Roque 0
Caldas SC 3
Mortagua FC 3
CF Os Gavionenses 2
Viana Alentejo 1
Cova De Piedade 2
Gil Vicente 2
CD Rabo Peixe 0
Pinhalnovense 1
Casa Pia 2
Lusitano VRSA 2
Fabril do Barreiro 0
Pedras Salgadas 1
Sanjoanense 6
Penafiel 2
Oliveirense 1
Penalva do Castelo 0
Amarante FC 4
Moreirense -
TBD -
Alcobaca 0
Vizela 2
Feirense -
TBD -
Sendim 2
Alcanenense 4
BSAD -
TBD -
CD Gouveia 1
Academica 2
Leixoes 1
Pedras Rubras 0
Almancilense 0
Merelinense 2
FC Barreirense 3
Valadares Gaia FC 0
GS Loures 1
Oriental 2
Aljustrelense 3
Armacenenses 2
Alcains 0
AD Limianos 4
Sertanense 2
Lusitano FCV 1
TBD -
Tondela -
Real SC 3
Sao Martinho 2
TBD -
Arouca -
Fatima 1
FC Pampilhosa 0
Sacavenense 0
Olhanense 1
Maritimo -
TBD -
AD Fafe 2
Naval 3
1º Dezembro 2
Sp. Lourel 0
TBD -
Benfica -
1/32-finals
Vitoria Guimaraes 2
Santa Iria 1
Leiria 0
Boavista 2
Pacos Ferreira 2
Aves 1
Vitoria Sernache 0
Vilafranquense 1
Braga 3
AD Oliveirense 1
Rio Ave 1
Santa Clara 2
Varzim 3
Agueda 0
Freamunde 0
Covilha 1
Sporting CP 1
Famalicao 0
SC Farense 1
SC Praiense 3
SB Castelo Branco 1
Cinfaes 0
Trofense 0
Vitoria Setubal 1
Torreense 2
Academico Viseu 0
Estarreja 1
Nacional 3
FC Porto 3
Gafanha 0
U. Madeira 0
Chaves 1
Estoril 1
Caldas SC 0
Mortagua FC 0
Cova De Piedade 1
Gil Vicente 1
Casa Pia 0
Lusitano VRSA 1
Sanjoanense 2
Penafiel 1
Amarante FC 0
Moreirense 0
Vizela 1
Feirense 2
Alcanenense 1
BSAD 0
Academica 2
Leixoes 3
Merelinense 2
FC Barreirense 0
Oriental 2
Aljustrelense 1
AD Limianos 0
Sertanense 0
Tondela 4
Real SC 1
Arouca 0
Fatima 1
Olhanense 2
Maritimo 4
Naval 0
1º Dezembro 1
Benfica 2
1/16-finals
Vitoria Guimaraes 2
Boavista 1
Pacos Ferreira 0
Vilafranquense 1
Braga 2
Santa Clara 1
Varzim 0
Covilha 1
Sporting CP 5
SC Praiense 1
SB Castelo Branco 0
Vitoria Setubal 2
Torreense 1
Nacional 0
FC Porto 0
Chaves 1
Estoril 2
Cova De Piedade 0
Gil Vicente 0
Sanjoanense 1
Penafiel 1
Vizela 0
Feirense 0
Academica 1
Leixoes 2
Oriental 1
Aljustrelense 1
Tondela 2
Real SC 2
Olhanense 0
Maritimo 0
Benfica 6
1/8-finals
Vitoria Guimaraes 1
Vilafranquense 0
Braga 1
Covilha 2
Sporting CP 1
Vitoria Setubal 0
Torreense 2
Chaves 3
Estoril 4
Sanjoanense 2
Penafiel 0
Academica 1
Leixoes 2
Tondela 1
Real SC 0
Benfica 3
Quarter-finals
Vitoria Guimaraes 1
Covilha 0
Sporting CP 0
Chaves 1
Estoril 2
Academica 1
Leixoes 2
Benfica 6
Semi-finals
Vitoria Guimaraes 3
Chaves 3
Estoril 4
Benfica 5
Final
Vitoria Guimaraes 1
Benfica 2
