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AI Match Summary
FC Cesarense host Oliveira de Frades in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D 2015/2016. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Oliveira de Frades have shipped 3 goals a game lately, while FC Cesarense have conceded 1.88 and scored 0.88. Head-to-head, FC Cesarense have won 3 to Oliveira de Frades's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Apr 30, 2016, ending 1:2. The numbers (1.94 xG vs 1.44) point toward FC Cesarense. FC Cesarense in a double chance market carries the safer edge.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- FC Cesarense demonstrates higher offensive output (0.88 avg goals) than Oliveira de Frades (0 avg goals).
- Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 44% draw probability.
- League standings and seasonal metrics in Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D 2015/2016 provide steady trend data.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | FC Cesarense | Oliveira de Frades |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 38 | 31 |
| Wins | 7 | 7 |
| Draws | 14 | 7 |
| Losses | 17 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 0.88 | 0 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.88 | 3 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.88 | 3.00 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
FC Cesarense scored in 74% of their last 38 games.
Oliveira de Frades let in goals in 77% of their last 31 matches.
Games between these two average 2.75 goals.
FC Cesarense went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Oliveira de Frades lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Estarreja | 18 | 13 | 5 | 0 | 38:14 | 44 |
| 2 | Anadia | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 36:26 | 31 |
| 3 | Lusitano FCV | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 33:23 | 29 |
| 4 | Sanjoanense | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 27:20 | 29 |
| 5 | FC Cesarense | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 26:24 | 22 |
| 6 | Oliveira de Frades | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 21:32 | 20 |
| 7 | Lusitania FC | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 22:28 | 19 |
| 8 | Mortagua FC | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 22:36 | 19 |
| 9 | Gafanha | 18 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 18:26 | 15 |
| 10 | Bustelo | 18 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 19:33 | 13 |