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FC Cesarense vs Oliveira de Frades

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D 2015/2016
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Match Events

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No live events recorded yet.

AI Match Summary

FC Cesarense host Oliveira de Frades in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D 2015/2016. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Oliveira de Frades have shipped 3 goals a game lately, while FC Cesarense have conceded 1.88 and scored 0.88. Head-to-head, FC Cesarense have won 3 to Oliveira de Frades's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Apr 30, 2016, ending 1:2. The numbers (1.94 xG vs 1.44) point toward FC Cesarense. FC Cesarense in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
FC Cesarense
44%
Draws
20%
Oliveira de Frades
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • FC Cesarense demonstrates higher offensive output (0.88 avg goals) than Oliveira de Frades (0 avg goals).
  • Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 44% draw probability.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D 2015/2016 provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
FC Cesarense Clean Sheet 16%
Oliveira de Frades Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Cesarense Oliveira de Frades
Matches Played 38 31
Wins 7 7
Draws 14 7
Losses 17 17
Goals Scored 0.88 0
Goals Conceded 1.88 3
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 3.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 30, 2016 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Oliveira de Frades vs FC Cesarense
1:2
Mar 13, 2016 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
FC Cesarense vs Oliveira de Frades
1:0
Jan 20, 2016 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
FC Cesarense vs Oliveira de Frades
3:1
Oct 25, 2015 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Oliveira de Frades vs FC Cesarense
2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Cesarense 36 / 100
Oliveira de Frades 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Cesarense Oliveira de Frades

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick OLI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Cesarense scored in 74% of their last 38 games.

Oliveira de Frades let in goals in 77% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.75 goals.

FC Cesarense went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Oliveira de Frades lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FC Cesarense VS Oliveira de Frades
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 3
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Estarreja18135038:1444
2Anadia1894536:2631
3Lusitano FCV1885533:2329
4Sanjoanense1885527:2029
5FC Cesarense1857626:2422
6Oliveira de Frades1855821:3220
7Lusitania FC1847722:2819
8Mortagua FC1847722:3619
9Gafanha1829718:2615
10Bustelo18341119:3313