Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FC Chalon vs Le Puy-en-Velay

France France

Coupe de France
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FC Chalon play Le Puy-en-Velay in the Coupe de France. FC Chalon are favorites here. Recently, FC Chalon averaged 0.83 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. Le Puy-en-Velay averaged 1.33 goals scored and 1 conceded. In past meetings, FC Chalon won 0, Le Puy-en-Velay won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Nov 29, 2025 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for FC Chalon and 1.00 for Le Puy-en-Velay. This points to a FC Chalon double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
FC Chalon
25%
Draws
15%
Le Puy-en-Velay
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: FC Chalon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence
  • FC Chalon picked up more points recently compared to Le Puy-en-Velay.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 65%
Over 2.5 Goals 46%
Over 3.5 Goals 28%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38%
FC Chalon Clean Sheet 23%
Le Puy-en-Velay Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 59%
Second Half Goal 62%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Chalon Le Puy-en-Velay
Matches Played 6 30
Wins 1 14
Draws 0 8
Losses 5 8
Goals Scored 0.83 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.5 1

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 29, 2025 Coupe de France
FC Chalon vs Le Puy-en-Velay
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Chalon Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Le Puy-en-Velay Compare

Top Goalscorer Nsingi P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Chalon 59 / 100
Le Puy-en-Velay 16 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Chalon Le Puy-en-Velay

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Chalon Win (1)
Secondary Pick FC Chalon & Under 3.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +15.2%
1.92
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +15%
2.50
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

FC Chalon attacking → ← attacking Le Puy-en-Velay

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Chalon scored in 50% of their last 6 games.

Le Puy-en-Velay let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

FC Chalon went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Le Puy-en-Velay lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

3 Points in last 5 50
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.75