Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FC Chernihiv vs Ch. Odesa

Ukraine Ukraine

Persha Liga 2025/2026 Chernihiv Arena, Chernihiv
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Romanchenko A.
31' Event
Khoma A.
45'
Klymenko V.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Persha Liga 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
FC Chernihiv
33%
Draws
40%
Ch. Odesa
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Ch. Odesa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Ch. Odesa have won more games recently than FC Chernihiv.
  • Ch. Odesa are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
FC Chernihiv Clean Sheet 15%
Ch. Odesa Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Chernihiv Ch. Odesa
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 8 17
Draws 6 7
Losses 13 4
Goals Scored 0.88 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.63 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Persha Liga
FC Chernihiv vs Ch. Odesa
2:2
Oct 19, 2025 Persha Liga
Ch. Odesa vs FC Chernihiv
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Chernihiv Compare

Top Goalscorer Romanchenko A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bezborodko D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Ch. Odesa Compare

Top Goalscorer Khoma A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Yermakov V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Chernihiv 27 / 100
Ch. Odesa 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Chernihiv Ch. Odesa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CH. Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Chernihiv's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Ch. Odesa conceded in 50% of 28 recent games.

Solid form: FC Chernihiv remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

FC Chernihiv VS Ch. Odesa
0.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Chernihiv

(Home)
18 Jul
Livyi Bereg
2 : 1
FC Chernihiv
15 Jul
Obolon
3 : 2
FC Chernihiv
01 Jun
Ahrobiznes Volochysk
1 : 0
FC Chernihiv
29 May
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
0 : 0
FC Chernihiv
26 May
FC Chernihiv
1 : 2
Metalist Kharkiv
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Ch. Odesa

(Away)
18 Jul
Ch. Odesa
2 : 1
Nyva Vinnytsya
10 Jul
Ch. Odesa
1 : 0
Inhulets
04 Jul
Oleksandriya
2 : 0
Ch. Odesa
01 Jul
Ch. Odesa
2 : 1
Kryvbas
01 Jun
Ch. Odesa
1 : 0
Metalist Kharkiv
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bukovyna30263174:2181
2Ch. Odesa30198344:2065
3Livyi Bereg30196550:2163
4Ahrobiznes Volochysk30165936:2853
5Inhulets301210841:3246
6Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998)309101133:3337
7Metalist Kharkiv301071331:3537
8Probiy Horodenka301061429:3736
9Fenix Mariupol30991231:3236
10Victoria301061437:3836
11UCSA301061430:4036
12Nyva Ternopil308101224:3434
13FC Chernihiv30871530:3631
14Vorskla Poltava30791423:3630
15FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi30491720:4521
16MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya30471916:6119
17Minaj00000:00
Promotion - Premier League (Main)
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Druha Liga 2025/2026 (Promotion)
Relegation - Druha Liga (Main)