Sport Picks
FC Chernihiv vs Fenix Mariupol - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Ukraine
Persha Liga Chernihiv Stadium, Černihiv 
AI Match Summary
FC Chernihiv host Fenix Mariupol in the Persha Liga. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Recent numbers: FC Chernihiv at 1.23 goals for, 1.4 against; Fenix Mariupol at 1.6 for, 1.1 against. Head-to-head, FC Chernihiv have won 2 to Fenix Mariupol's 3, with 0 draws. They last met on Mar 21, 2026, ending 1:4. Model xG sits at 1.13 vs 1.50, favoring Fenix Mariupol. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Fenix Mariupol have won more games recently than FC Chernihiv.
- 52% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular Persha Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | FC Chernihiv | Fenix Mariupol |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 9 | 12 |
| Draws | 7 | 10 |
| Losses | 14 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.23 | 1.6 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.4 | 1.1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
FC Chernihiv found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).
H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.
Defensive concern: Fenix Mariupol conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.
Solid form: FC Chernihiv remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
FC Chernihiv
(Home)Fenix Mariupol
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Victoria | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 16:9 | 24 |
| 2 | Ahrobiznes Volochysk | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 19:14 | 23 |
| 3 | Kulikiv | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 25:14 | 21 |
| 4 | SC Poltava | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 22:10 | 21 |
| 5 | Fenix Mariupol | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 18:13 | 21 |
| 6 | Oleksandriya | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 17:11 | 20 |
| 7 | Lokomotyv Kyiv | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 15:13 | 17 |
| 8 | Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998) | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 12:14 | 15 |
| 9 | Metalist Kharkiv | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13:14 | 15 |
| 10 | Nyva Ternopil | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 12:10 | 15 |
| 11 | Inhulets | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 11:16 | 14 |
| 12 | Kolos Kovalivka 2 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 12:20 | 13 |
| 13 | UCSA | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 15:19 | 11 |
| 14 | FC Chernihiv | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 12:16 | 10 |
| 15 | Probiy Horodenka | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 12:30 | 9 |
| 16 | Zhytomyr 2 | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 17:25 | 8 |
