Sport Picks

Ukraine

Persha Liga 2025/2026 Chernihiv Arena, Chernihiv

FC Chernihiv

1 - 2

Inhulets

Our Tip

Match Events

41'

Benedyuk A.

45'

Kasimov D.

46'

Sub

Ursolov S. In: Tuzenko D.

Out: Ursolov S.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Persha Liga 2025/2026 game between FC Chernihiv and Inhulets finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Inhulets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

FC Chernihiv

40%

Draws

29%

Inhulets

Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence

Inhulets carry the better recent record into this one.
Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
Regular Persha Liga 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Inhulets have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 38%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%

FC Chernihiv Clean Sheet 18%

Inhulets Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	FC Chernihiv	Inhulets
Matches Played	27	30
Wins	8	12
Draws	6	7
Losses	13	11
Goals Scored	0.88	1.38
Goals Conceded	1.25	1.38
Expected Goals (xG)	0.88	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.25	1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 Persha Liga

FC Chernihiv vs Inhulets

1:2

Nov 2, 2025 Persha Liga

Inhulets vs FC Chernihiv

1:1

Oct 8, 2023 Persha Liga

Inhulets vs FC Chernihiv

6:1

Aug 7, 2023 Persha Liga

FC Chernihiv vs Inhulets

0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Chernihiv Compare

Top Goalscorer Shalfeev Y.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.68

Avg xA / game 0.44

Inhulets Compare

Top Goalscorer Benedyuk A.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Kasimov D.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Chernihiv 32 / 100

Inhulets 29 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

FC Chernihiv Inhulets

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

FC Chernihiv found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (27 games).

Inhulets let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Inhulets lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FC Chernihiv VS Inhulets

0.88 Goals Scored 1.38

1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38

63% Over 1.5 75%

50% Over 2.5 75%

25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Chernihiv

(Home)

18 Jul

Livyi Bereg

2 : 1

FC Chernihiv

15 Jul

Obolon

3 : 2

FC Chernihiv

01 Jun

Ahrobiznes Volochysk

1 : 0

FC Chernihiv

29 May

MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya

0 : 0

FC Chernihiv

26 May

FC Chernihiv

1 : 2

Metalist Kharkiv

Page 1 of 6

Inhulets

(Away)

10 Jul

Ch. Odesa

1 : 0

Inhulets

08 Jul

Oleksandriya

2 : 1

Inhulets

27 Jun

Kryvbas

1 : 2

Inhulets

01 Jun

Inhulets

1 : 3

Livyi Bereg

23 May

FC Chernihiv

1 : 2

Inhulets

Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Scroll horizontally →

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Bukovyna	30	26	3	1	74:21	81
2	Ch. Odesa	30	19	8	3	44:20	65
3	Livyi Bereg	30	19	6	5	50:21	63
4	Ahrobiznes Volochysk	30	16	5	9	36:28	53
5	Inhulets	30	12	10	8	41:32	46
6	Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998)	30	9	10	11	33:33	37
7	Metalist Kharkiv	30	10	7	13	31:35	37
8	Probiy Horodenka	30	10	6	14	29:37	36
9	Fenix Mariupol	30	9	9	12	31:32	36
10	Victoria	30	10	6	14	37:38	36
11	UCSA	30	10	6	14	30:40	36
12	Nyva Ternopil	30	8	10	12	24:34	34
13	FC Chernihiv	30	8	7	15	30:36	31
14	Vorskla Poltava	30	7	9	14	23:36	30
15	FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi	30	4	9	17	20:45	21
16	MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya	30	4	7	19	16:61	19
17	Minaj	0	0	0	0	0:0	0

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Relegation - Druha Liga 2025/2026 (Promotion)

Relegation - Druha Liga (Main)