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FC Chernihiv vs Inhulets - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ukraine Ukraine

Persha Liga Chernihiv Stadium, Černihiv
Wed, Nov 11, 2026
VS
09:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FC Chernihiv host Inhulets in the Persha Liga. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Recent numbers: FC Chernihiv at 1.17 goals for, 1.45 against; Inhulets at 0.89 for, 1.56 against. Head-to-head, FC Chernihiv have won 0 to Inhulets's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on May 23, 2026, ending 1:2. xG projections (1.25 - 1.13) back Inhulets to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: NG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
FC Chernihiv
15%
Draws
42%
Inhulets
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FC Chernihiv

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • FC Chernihiv have won more games recently than Inhulets.
  • 43% — that's where the model lands on FC Chernihiv taking it.
  • Regular Persha Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Inhulets here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
FC Chernihiv Clean Sheet 68%
Inhulets Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Chernihiv Inhulets
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 8 7
Draws 7 6
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 1.17 0.89
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.56
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 Persha Liga
FC Chernihiv vs Inhulets
1:2
Nov 2, 2025 Persha Liga
Inhulets vs FC Chernihiv
1:1
Oct 8, 2023 Persha Liga
Inhulets vs FC Chernihiv
6:1
Aug 7, 2023 Persha Liga
FC Chernihiv vs Inhulets
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Chernihiv 77 / 100
Inhulets 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Chernihiv Inhulets

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Chernihiv Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Chernihiv's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Inhulets conceded in 85% of 27 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Inhulets has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

FC Chernihiv VS Inhulets
1.5 Goals Scored 0.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Chernihiv

(Home)
17 Oct
Victoria
2 : 1
FC Chernihiv
11 Oct
Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998)
0 : 1
FC Chernihiv
06 Oct
Trostyanets
2 : 4
FC Chernihiv
02 Oct
SC Poltava
3 : 2
FC Chernihiv
27 Sept
Metalist Kharkiv
2 : 0
FC Chernihiv
Page 1 of 6

Inhulets

(Away)
17 Oct
Fenix Mariupol
4 : 1
Inhulets
10 Oct
Inhulets
0 : 1
Ahrobiznes Volochysk
03 Oct
Victoria
1 : 0
Inhulets
26 Sept
Inhulets
2 : 1
Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998)
12 Sept
Inhulets
1 : 0
Metalist Kharkiv
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Victoria 13 7 4 2 17:10 25
2 SC Poltava 13 7 3 3 24:11 24
3 Fenix Mariupol 13 7 3 3 20:13 24
4 Ahrobiznes Volochysk 12 7 2 3 19:14 23
5 Oleksandriya 13 6 5 2 19:11 23
6 Kulikiv 12 6 3 3 25:14 21
7 Lokomotyv Kyiv 12 4 5 3 15:13 17
8 Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998) 13 4 4 5 13:15 16
9 Nyva Ternopil 12 3 6 3 12:10 15
10 Metalist Kharkiv 13 4 3 6 13:16 15
11 Inhulets 11 4 2 5 11:16 14
12 Kolos Kovalivka 2 12 4 1 7 12:20 13
13 UCSA 12 2 5 5 15:19 11
14 FC Chernihiv 11 2 4 5 12:16 10
15 Probiy Horodenka 13 2 3 8 12:32 9
16 Zhytomyr 2 13 1 5 7 18:27 8
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Persha Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Persha Liga (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Druha Liga 2027/2028 (Main)